Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

72.3%Illinois State

27.7%Long Beach State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -261

Long Beach State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 78

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 72

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricLong Beach State

54.3MMH Power Index41.1

110.6Offensive Efficiency103.8

101.4Defensive Efficiency107.8

9.2Net Efficiency-4.0

1.0Strength of Schedule-1.4

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

67.5Tempo72.2

54.3%Effective FG%51.5%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.7%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

32.0%Free Throw Rate31.1%

6.2Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–41.1), offensive efficiency (110.6–103.8), defensive efficiency (101.4–107.8), net efficiency (9.2–-4.0).

Final

Illinois State

61—52

Long Beach State

Illinois State by 9 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATLong Beach State

20-57FG23-65

35.0%FG%35.0%

8-273PT4-20

30.0%3PT%20.0%

13-27FT2-5

48.0%FT%40.0%

42Rebounds48

16Offensive Rebounds18

12Assists10

18Turnovers21

11Steals8

2Blocks4

13Fouls23

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dalton Banks	Guard	36	4-8	2-4	5-8	5	3	6	0	15
Johnny Kinziger	G	21	3-7	2-5	2-2	1	2	0	0	10
Kendall Lewis	Forward	26	4-7	0-0	1-2	7	0	1	1	9
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	25	2-7	2-5	2-2	4	2	1	0	8
Myles Foster	Forward	29	2-8	0-0	3-9	10	1	1	0	7
Darius Burford	Guard	27	3-11	1-6	0-0	1	2	2	1	7
Luke Kasubke	Guard	12	1-6	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Brandon Lieb	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	2
Jordan Davis	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-3	3	0	0	0	0
Harouna Sissoko	Forward	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ty Pence	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Messiah Thompson	Guard	29	5-14	0-5	0-1	2	4	0	0	10
Lassina Traore	F	30	4-9	0-0	0-0	15	1	2	0	8
AJ George	G	25	4-7	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	0	8
Jadon Jones	G	17	3-6	2-5	0-0	3	1	1	0	8
Varick Lewis	G	9	2-5	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Marcus Tsohonis	Guard	28	2-14	0-5	1-2	4	2	0	0	5
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	29	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	3	4	4
Amari Stroud	Forward	16	1-5	0-0	1-2	5	0	1	0	3
Isa Silva	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chayce Polynice	Center	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

85.8Offensive Efficiency73.1

73.1Defensive Efficiency85.8

12.7Net Efficiency-12.7

42.1%Effective FG%38.5%

43.7%True Shooting %38.6%

25.1%Turnover Rate29.8%

47.4%Free Throw Rate7.7%

47.4%3-Point Rate30.8%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.48

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.