Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.7%Sacramento State

33.3%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSacramento State -3.2

PROJECTED TOTAL161.3

MODEL MONEYLINESacramento State -200

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 82

Projected Total161.3

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 79

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricCal State Bakersfield

43MMH Power Index32.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency100.2

112.0Defensive Efficiency112.6

-5.9Net Efficiency-12.4

0.9Strength of Schedule-1.7

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

73.2Tempo73.0

48.5%Effective FG%46.4%

14.2%Turnover Rate18.6%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

41.8%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-4.3Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Sacramento State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSacramento State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.0–32.2), offensive efficiency (106.1–100.2), defensive efficiency (112.0–112.6), net efficiency (-5.9–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.2–25.1), free throw rate (43.8–41.8).

Final

Sacramento State

71—75

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Bakersfield by 4 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

20-50FG30-61

40.0%FG%49.0%

10-303PT6-16

33.0%3PT%38.0%

21-23FT9-14

91.0%FT%64.0%

31Rebounds31

11Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists15

16Turnovers12

3Steals8

3Blocks1

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Betson	Guard	23	4-12	2-6	6-6	1	1	0	1	16
Zee Hamoda	G	30	4-7	1-4	4-4	2	3	1	0	13
Alex Kovatchev	G	29	3-8	3-6	0-0	4	2	1	1	9
Akol Mawein	Forward	25	1-1	0-0	7-8	3	0	0	0	9
Duncan Powell	F	35	2-6	1-4	2-2	11	3	0	1	7
Austin Patterson	Guard	21	2-7	2-6	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Bailey Nunn	G	16	2-5	1-2	0-1	1	0	1	0	5
Jacob Holt	Forward	13	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Emil Skytt	G	5	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Bowyn Beatty	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Michael Wilson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Wilbon	Guard	27	7-10	0-1	0-1	5	2	0	0	14
Kaleb Higgins	Guard	33	4-16	1-5	4-5	1	5	1	0	13
Dalph Panopio	Guard	33	5-5	3-3	0-0	5	2	2	0	13
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	11	4-9	0-2	2-3	2	1	0	0	10
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	17	3-6	0-0	3-4	5	1	2	0	9
Marvin McGhee III	G	27	2-5	2-4	0-1	7	1	2	0	6
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	20	3-5	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Tom Mark	F	16	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Jaden Alexander	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Naseem Gaskin	Guard	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Corey Stephenson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

107.1Offensive Efficiency113.1

113.1Defensive Efficiency107.1

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

50.0%Effective FG%54.1%

58.3%True Shooting %55.4%

24.3%Turnover Rate18.0%

46.0%Free Throw Rate23.0%

60.0%3-Point Rate26.2%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.