The Citadel

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.0%The Citadel

84.0%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -11.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -525

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreThe Citadel 70

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreIdaho State 81

Team Comparison

The CitadelMetricIdaho State

35.6MMH Power Index45.9

106.1Offensive Efficiency111.0

116.9Defensive Efficiency113.4

-10.8Net Efficiency-2.4

-1.3Strength of Schedule0.2

-16.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

66.3Tempo67.1

50.4%Effective FG%52.2%

15.7%Turnover Rate16.5%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

29.6%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-7.2Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–35.6), offensive efficiency (111.0–106.1), defensive efficiency (113.4–116.9), net efficiency (-2.4–-10.8).

The Citadel COUNTERS WITHball security (15.7–16.5).

Final

The Citadel

62—61

Idaho State

The Citadel by 1 • 60.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

The CitadelTEAM STATIdaho State

20-45FG25-52

44.0%FG%48.0%

6-183PT4-17

33.0%3PT%24.0%

16-18FT7-7

89.0%FT%100.0%

28Rebounds25

6Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists12

13Turnovers10

7Steals9

1Blocks5

12Fouls15

Player Box Score

The Citadel

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Smith	G	26	7-11	1-3	4-4	5	1	1	0	19
Elijah Morgan	Guard	30	4-8	3-5	4-4	3	2	1	0	15
Winston Hill	Forward	27	4-10	1-3	2-2	6	1	2	0	11
Madison Durr	G	31	2-5	1-3	2-2	4	2	0	0	7
Quentin Millora-Brown	Forward	33	1-2	0-0	4-6	5	2	1	1	6
Keynan Davis	G	19	2-6	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Christian Moore	F	17	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Levi Birkholz	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Marcus Pigram	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kam Roberts	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brayden Parker	Center	32	7-10	4-7	0-0	6	1	0	1	18
Isaiah Griffin	F	31	4-9	0-2	2-2	6	1	2	1	10
Kiree Huie	F	22	4-8	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	2	9
Kolton Mitchell	G	20	3-7	0-2	2-2	3	1	1	1	8
Maleek Arington	G	37	2-5	0-1	2-2	1	7	4	0	6
Trent Johnson	F	30	3-7	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Miguel Tomley	Guard	23	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	2	0	2
AJ Burgin	Guard	5	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

60.5Possessions60.5

102.5Offensive Efficiency100.8

100.8Defensive Efficiency102.5

1.7Net Efficiency-1.7

51.1%Effective FG%51.9%

57.9%True Shooting %55.1%

21.5%Turnover Rate16.6%

40.0%Free Throw Rate13.5%

40.0%3-Point Rate32.7%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

The Citadel won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 60.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.