Indiana

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.2%Indiana

81.8%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -449

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana 73

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreLouisville 84

Team Comparison

IndianaMetricLouisville

58.2MMH Power Index67.1

116.0Offensive Efficiency118.6

107.1Defensive Efficiency102.2

8.9Net Efficiency16.4

5.2Strength of Schedule6.0

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

67.4Tempo71.0

56.0%Effective FG%56.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.8%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

35.8%Free Throw Rate34.1%

6.0Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–58.2), offensive efficiency (118.6–116.0), defensive efficiency (102.2–107.1), net efficiency (16.4–8.9).

Indiana COUNTERS WITHball security (15.1–16.8), free throw rate (35.8–34.1).

Final

Indiana

74—66

Louisville

Indiana by 8 • 73.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IndianaTEAM STATLouisville

24-53FG20-56

45.0%FG%36.0%

1-113PT5-19

9.0%3PT%26.0%

25-34FT21-29

74.0%FT%72.0%

39Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists9

11Turnovers11

8Steals6

7Blocks2

18Fouls23

Player Box Score

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	31	2-4	1-1	9-12	4	5	1	0	14
Kel'el Ware	Center	26	5-11	0-0	2-3	7	2	0	2	12
Malik Reneau	F	20	3-5	0-1	6-6	3	2	1	0	12
Anthony Walker	Forward	20	3-7	0-2	5-5	7	0	0	1	11
Payton Sparks	Center	14	4-5	0-0	1-4	3	0	0	1	9
CJ Gunn	G	14	3-7	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Kaleb Banks	F	25	1-2	0-0	2-4	8	3	3	3	4
Mackenzie Mgbako	F	9	2-5	0-3	0-0	1	3	1	0	4
Trey Galloway	Guard	32	1-7	0-4	0-0	4	2	2	0	2
Gabe Cupps	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Skyy Clark	G	33	5-15	2-9	7-9	1	2	1	0	19
Tre White	G	31	3-9	1-3	3-6	5	1	2	0	10
JJ Traynor	F	19	3-6	1-2	2-4	4	0	0	0	9
Mike James	G	31	2-6	0-2	4-4	7	0	1	0	8
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	35	3-9	0-0	0-0	9	2	0	1	6
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	17	1-5	0-1	4-4	0	4	1	0	6
Kaleb Glenn	F	12	2-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	0	5
Curtis Williams Jr.	G	9	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Dennis Evans	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Zan Payne	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Danilo Jovanovich	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.0Possessions73.0

101.4Offensive Efficiency90.4

90.4Defensive Efficiency101.4

11.0Net Efficiency-11.0

46.2%Effective FG%40.2%

53.5%True Shooting %47.3%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

64.2%Free Throw Rate51.8%

20.8%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.64Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Indiana won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 73.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.