Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%Tarleton State

83.8%Austin Peay

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -11.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.8

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -517

Austin Peay

22-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 71

Projected Total153.8

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 83

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricAustin Peay

44.6MMH Power Index54.8

103.2Offensive Efficiency115.0

101.6Defensive Efficiency103.1

1.6Net Efficiency11.9

-2.3Strength of Schedule-5.8

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency8.1

72.2Tempo71.0

49.0%Effective FG%53.9%

19.9%Turnover Rate15.3%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

42.8%Free Throw Rate39.0%

1.1Average Margin8.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–44.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–103.2), net efficiency (11.9–1.6), recent form (8.1–-6.7).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.6–103.1), strength of schedule (-2.3–-5.8), offensive rebounding (31.8–30.3).

Final

Tarleton State

66—59

Austin Peay

Tarleton State by 7 • 61.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATAustin Peay

26-57FG23-54

46.0%FG%43.0%

7-243PT6-12

29.0%3PT%50.0%

7-9FT7-8

78.0%FT%88.0%

26Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists7

10Turnovers15

7Steals6

3Blocks1

9Fouls14

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jakorie Smith	Forward	37	11-23	3-10	3-3	7	0	2	1	28
Lue Williams	Guard	39	6-11	3-6	0-0	0	1	2	0	15
KiAndre Gaddy	Forward	27	5-7	0-0	3-5	7	1	0	1	13
Emmanuel Innocenti	G	35	2-6	0-4	1-1	6	4	1	0	5
Adam Moussa	Guard	32	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	4	0	1	3
Traivar Jackson	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Devon Barnes	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Bubu Benjamin	G	7	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	0

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DeMarcus Sharp	Guard	38	8-16	0-0	1-1	4	6	1	0	17
Ja'Monta Black	Guard	38	6-16	3-7	1-1	7	0	1	0	16
Sai Witt	Forward	23	1-4	0-0	5-6	7	1	1	0	7
Dez White	G	38	2-6	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Daniel Loos	Forward	26	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	2	0	6
Dezi Jones	Guard	14	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Jonathan Dunn	F	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jalen Ware	Forward	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Hansel Enmanuel	PG	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.6Possessions61.6

107.1Offensive Efficiency95.8

95.8Defensive Efficiency107.1

11.4Net Efficiency-11.4

51.8%Effective FG%48.1%

53.9%True Shooting %51.0%

16.1%Turnover Rate24.7%

15.8%Free Throw Rate14.8%

42.1%3-Point Rate22.2%

1.30Assist / Turnover0.47

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 61.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.