Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.7%Florida State

46.3%UNLV

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNLV -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL161.8

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -116

UNLV

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 81

Projected Total161.8

Projected ScoreUNLV 81

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricUNLV

58.7MMH Power Index52.8

111.9Offensive Efficiency111.0

108.5Defensive Efficiency109.6

3.4Net Efficiency1.4

5.7Strength of Schedule2.7

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency1.1

71.8Tempo71.4

52.4%Effective FG%53.7%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

35.2%Free Throw Rate41.6%

2.4Average Margin1.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.7–52.8), offensive efficiency (111.9–111.0), defensive efficiency (108.5–109.6), net efficiency (3.4–1.4).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.7–52.4), offensive rebounding (30.8–30.3), free throw rate (41.6–35.2).

Final

Florida State

83—75

UNLV

Florida State by 8 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATUNLV

32-51FG29-51

63.0%FG%57.0%

5-123PT2-10

42.0%3PT%20.0%

14-18FT15-24

78.0%FT%63.0%

27Rebounds24

4Offensive Rebounds7

17Assists8

15Turnovers14

8Steals9

4Blocks2

23Fouls16

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	29	8-11	1-1	2-3	4	8	0	0	19
Darin Green Jr.	Guard	34	5-10	2-5	4-4	1	1	0	0	16
Cameron Corhen	F	21	6-7	0-0	2-2	2	2	2	0	14
De'Ante Green	F	14	4-5	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	10
Chandler Jackson	G	15	3-4	1-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	9
Cam'Ron Fletcher	F	12	3-6	0-0	0-1	6	1	1	0	6
Baba Miller	F	33	2-4	1-2	0-1	5	0	1	3	5
Jalen Warley	G	30	1-3	0-0	1-1	2	4	3	1	3
Josh Nickelberry	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Tom House	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kalib Boone	Forward	25	7-11	0-0	1-4	5	0	0	1	15
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	37	5-7	1-2	2-3	6	6	0	0	13
Justin Webster	Guard	35	5-10	1-4	2-3	2	1	2	0	13
Jalen Hill	Forward	34	4-7	0-1	5-6	4	1	3	1	13
Luis Rodriguez	Guard	35	4-8	0-2	4-6	3	0	3	0	12
Jackie Johnson III	Guard	11	3-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Isaiah Cottrell	F	19	1-4	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Rob Whaley Jr.	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Brooklyn Hicks	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

118.6Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency118.6

11.4Net Efficiency-11.4

67.6%Effective FG%58.8%

69.7%True Shooting %60.1%

21.3%Turnover Rate20.2%

35.3%Free Throw Rate47.1%

23.5%3-Point Rate19.6%

1.13Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

Florida State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.