Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.0%Central Arkansas

56.0%Southeast Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSoutheast Missouri State -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINESoutheast Missouri State -127

Southeast Missouri State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 75

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreSoutheast Missouri State 77

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricSoutheast Missouri State

54MMH Power Index51.6

113.9Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.2Defensive Efficiency99.8

8.7Net Efficiency5.5

-3.9Strength of Schedule-2.4

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

71.0Tempo70.8

54.3%Effective FG%50.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.6%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate39.3%

6.1Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–51.6), offensive efficiency (113.9–105.3), net efficiency (8.7–5.5), recent form (9.8–6.4).

Southeast Missouri State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.8–105.2), strength of schedule (-2.4–-3.9), free throw rate (39.3–30.7).

Final

Central Arkansas

68—70

Southeast Missouri State

Southeast Missouri State by 2 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATSoutheast Missouri State

24-60FG25-56

40.0%FG%45.0%

6-173PT6-29

35.0%3PT%21.0%

14-22FT14-21

64.0%FT%67.0%

33Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists16

9Turnovers14

10Steals3

—Blocks3

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	28	7-7	0-0	1-3	8	0	0	15
Daniel Sofield	Guard	26	3-7	3-5	5-8	2	3	1	14
Elias Cato	Forward	24	5-11	0-1	4-7	4	0	3	14
Masai Olowokere	Guard	31	2-6	2-5	4-4	1	3	2	10
Tucker Anderson	F	25	3-10	0-3	0-0	4	0	1	6
Johannes Kirsipuu	G	36	2-9	0-1	0-0	6	8	2	4
Ibbe Klintman	Guard	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	0	1	3
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	18	1-9	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	2
Caleb Carr	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Tucker Bowman	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Southeast Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Earley	Forward	30	8-9	0-0	3-4	7	0	0	1	19
Gavyn Elkamil	Guard	16	3-7	3-7	2-2	3	0	0	0	11
Evan Eursher	Guard	22	3-5	2-4	2-4	6	1	0	0	10
Aquan Smart	Guard	27	3-11	1-6	2-4	5	4	0	0	9
BJ Ward	G	27	2-4	0-2	2-2	3	7	1	1	6
TJ Biel	F	18	2-6	0-3	1-1	3	2	0	1	5
Rob Martin	G	28	1-5	0-2	2-2	1	2	1	0	4
David Idada	C	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	4
Braxton Stacker	G	12	1-4	0-2	0-2	0	0	1	0	2
Adam Larson	Forward	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Marqueas Bell	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

94.7Offensive Efficiency97.5

97.5Defensive Efficiency94.7

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

45.0%Effective FG%50.0%

48.3%True Shooting %53.1%

12.6%Turnover Rate19.5%

36.7%Free Throw Rate37.5%

28.3%3-Point Rate51.8%

1.56Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Southeast Missouri State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.