Abilene Christian

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.6%Abilene Christian

81.4%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL146.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -438

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 69

Projected Total146.8

Projected ScoreMissouri State 78

Team Comparison

Abilene ChristianMetricMissouri State

42.4MMH Power Index51.1

101.1Offensive Efficiency110.5

104.1Defensive Efficiency108.4

-3.0Net Efficiency2.1

-1.4Strength of Schedule0.5

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

69.6Tempo67.9

48.9%Effective FG%51.8%

20.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

42.0%Free Throw Rate42.9%

-2.1Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–42.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–101.1), net efficiency (2.1–-3.0), strength of schedule (0.5–-1.4).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.1–108.4).

Final

Abilene Christian

69—87

Missouri State

Missouri State by 18 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Abilene ChristianTEAM STATMissouri State

25-59FG30-52

42.0%FG%58.0%

7-163PT7-18

44.0%3PT%39.0%

12-19FT20-27

63.0%FT%74.0%

24Rebounds40

7Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists16

12Turnovers16

11Steals5

2Blocks3

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Airion Simmons	Forward	23	10-16	4-4	1-2	2	4	1	1	25
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	34	5-7	1-2	3-5	8	3	0	0	14
Ali Dibba	G	37	4-12	0-1	3-4	5	1	2	0	11
Cameron Steele	Forward	29	2-7	2-3	0-0	1	1	4	1	6
Immanuel Allen	Guard	12	1-5	0-0	4-6	1	1	1	0	6
Kavion McClain	F	28	1-5	0-4	0-0	2	2	3	0	2
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ma'Shy Hill	F	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Muodubem Muoneke	Guard	4	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Aidan Igiehon	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Yaniel Rivera	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
JV Seat	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Colby Tanner	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alston Mason	Guard	39	7-16	3-8	4-7	2	5	0	0	21
Donovan Clay	Guard	24	7-10	1-1	4-5	6	3	2	0	19
Chance Moore	G	31	5-9	2-4	5-5	6	0	0	0	17
NJ Benson	F	29	8-10	0-0	1-2	16	1	2	3	17
Matthew Lee	Guard	36	2-5	1-4	5-6	4	6	0	0	10
Cesare Edwards	Center	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	15	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Raphe Ayres	Guard	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Dawson Carper	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Tommy Pinegar	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kanon Gipson	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

95.3Offensive Efficiency120.2

120.2Defensive Efficiency95.3

-24.9Net Efficiency24.9

48.3%Effective FG%64.4%

50.7%True Shooting %67.1%

16.4%Turnover Rate22.3%

32.2%Free Throw Rate51.9%

27.1%3-Point Rate34.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.