Green Bay

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.6%Green Bay

69.4%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -227

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGreen Bay 72

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreMontana State 80

Team Comparison

Green BayMetricMontana State

50.8MMH Power Index53.6

114.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

114.0Defensive Efficiency104.9

0.0Net Efficiency9.5

0.7Strength of Schedule-3.7

5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

65.7Tempo68.1

55.4%Effective FG%55.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate14.7%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

42.4%Free Throw Rate30.7%

0.0Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.8), offensive efficiency (114.4–114.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–114.0), net efficiency (9.5–0.0).

Green Bay COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.7–-3.7), recent form (5.1–4.9), shooting efficiency (55.4–55.1).

Final

Green Bay

54—53

Montana State

Green Bay by 1 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Green BayTEAM STATMontana State

22-47FG17-62

47.0%FG%27.0%

3-163PT7-35

19.0%3PT%20.0%

7-14FT12-14

50.0%FT%86.0%

45Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists9

20Turnovers8

5Steals11

3Blocks2

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Green Bay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Reynolds	Guard	39	7-12	0-3	5-6	7	2	1	0	19
Preston Ruedinger	G	37	4-7	1-2	0-2	6	3	1	1	9
Amari Jedkins	F	33	3-5	0-0	1-3	9	3	1	1	7
Elijah Jones	F	39	2-8	0-3	1-2	7	0	2	1	5
David Douglas Jr.	G	20	2-6	1-3	0-1	4	0	0	0	5
Rich Byhre	Forward	12	2-2	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Marcus Hall	F	26	1-5	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Ryan Wade	Guard	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Will Eames	Forward	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Ford III	Guard	45	7-13	5-8	7-8	13	0	7	0	26
Brian Goracke	Forward	35	4-17	2-10	4-4	4	1	0	0	14
Sam Lecholat	Forward	40	3-9	0-3	0-0	4	3	2	2	6
Brandon Walker	F	13	2-6	0-2	1-2	3	1	1	0	5
Tyler Patterson	Guard	43	1-8	0-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Jed Miller	G	25	0-8	0-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Chika Nduka	Forward	21	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
John Olmsted	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

81.6Offensive Efficiency80.1

80.1Defensive Efficiency81.6

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

50.0%Effective FG%33.1%

50.3%True Shooting %38.6%

30.5%Turnover Rate12.0%

29.8%Free Throw Rate22.6%

34.0%3-Point Rate56.5%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Green Bay won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.