UNC Wilmington

27-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.2%UNC Wilmington

48.8%App State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL141.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -105

App State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 70

Projected Total141.0

Projected ScoreApp State 71

Team Comparison

UNC WilmingtonMetricApp State

59.2MMH Power Index54.2

114.1Offensive Efficiency110.9

101.7Defensive Efficiency101.7

12.4Net Efficiency9.2

-1.5Strength of Schedule-4.2

5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

66.9Tempo64.9

51.1%Effective FG%51.1%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.2%

35.8%Offensive Rebound %34.2%

41.7%Free Throw Rate39.8%

8.3Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–54.2), offensive efficiency (114.1–110.9), net efficiency (12.4–9.2), strength of schedule (-1.5–-4.2).

App State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (7.0–5.5).

Final

UNC Wilmington

56—86

App State

App State by 30 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC WilmingtonTEAM STATApp State

19-62FG35-58

31.0%FG%60.0%

9-273PT8-22

33.0%3PT%36.0%

9-9FT8-13

100.0%FT%62.0%

28Rebounds43

6Offensive Rebounds6

8Assists21

7Turnovers8

3Steals6

1Blocks6

11Fouls10

Player Box Score

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trazarien White	Forward	28	4-11	0-2	7-7	8	0	1	0	15
KJ Jenkins	Guard	21	4-13	4-9	0-0	3	0	0	0	12
Nolan Hodge	G	17	4-5	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Shykeim Phillips	Guard	18	3-9	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Nick Farrar	Guard	23	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Maleeck Harden-Hayes	Guard	29	1-7	1-5	0-0	5	2	0	0	3
Shemar Rathan-Mayes	Guard	8	1-3	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Noah Ross	G	21	0-4	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Donovan Newby	Not Available	22	0-5	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Khamari McGriff	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	1	0
Eric Van Der Heijden	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre'Von Spillers	F	25	7-8	0-0	1-2	7	0	0	2	15
Donovan Gregory	Forward	27	6-8	0-1	2-2	7	5	0	0	14
Myles Tate	Guard	23	5-9	2-4	2-3	0	3	2	0	14
Christopher Mantis	Forward	21	5-8	3-6	0-0	2	2	1	2	13
Terence Harcum	Guard	23	4-10	1-6	1-2	0	1	0	0	10
Justin Abson	F	27	4-4	0-0	0-0	13	2	0	2	8
Jordan Marsh	G	22	1-6	1-4	2-4	5	6	1	0	5
CJ Huntley	Forward	12	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Xavion Brown	Guard	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	2	0	2
Josh Hayes	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Bryant Greene	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

83.8Offensive Efficiency128.7

128.7Defensive Efficiency83.8

-44.9Net Efficiency44.9

37.9%Effective FG%67.2%

42.2%True Shooting %67.0%

10.4%Turnover Rate12.1%

14.5%Free Throw Rate22.4%

43.5%3-Point Rate37.9%

1.14Assist / Turnover2.63

Game Summary

App State won by 30 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.