Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.4%Buffalo

32.6%Louisiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -207

Louisiana

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 74

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreLouisiana 70

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricLouisiana

49.7MMH Power Index38.6

114.9Offensive Efficiency99.3

112.2Defensive Efficiency110.2

2.7Net Efficiency-10.9

0.0Strength of Schedule1.5

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.0

67.9Tempo64.1

56.1%Effective FG%47.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate16.8%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

40.4%Free Throw Rate29.5%

1.8Average Margin-7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–38.6), offensive efficiency (114.9–99.3), net efficiency (2.7–-10.9), recent form (-5.9–-9.0).

Louisiana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.2–112.2), strength of schedule (1.5–0.0), offensive rebounding (28.2–27.6).

Final

Buffalo

60—68

Louisiana

Louisiana by 8 • 61.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATLouisiana

22-54FG25-59

41.0%FG%42.0%

9-283PT6-17

32.0%3PT%35.0%

7-12FT12-17

58.0%FT%71.0%

34Rebounds36

13Offensive Rebounds15

12Assists10

15Turnovers10

5Steals10

4Blocks6

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sy Chatman	Forward	32	4-13	2-5	3-4	4	1	0	3	13
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	24	6-10	0-2	1-2	2	3	1	0	13
Ryan Sabol	G	26	3-6	3-5	0-0	1	1	1	0	9
Anquan Boldin Jr.	G	38	3-8	2-5	0-0	4	3	2	1	8
Isaiah Adams	Guard	27	2-11	2-9	1-2	7	2	0	0	7
Zaakir Williamson	F	10	2-3	0-1	2-4	2	1	0	0	6
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	30	1-1	0-0	0-0	8	0	1	0	2
Bryson Wilson	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Julien	Forward	35	10-18	2-4	8-11	7	2	4	0	30
Joe Charles	Not Available	33	3-11	1-3	2-2	10	1	3	2	9
Michael Thomas	Guard	32	4-8	1-3	0-0	3	3	2	1	9
Brandon Hardy	G	19	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	1	1	1	6
Kyran Ratliff	F	18	3-5	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	2	6
Hosana Kitenge	F	14	2-5	0-0	2-4	3	1	0	0	6
Blake Butler	Guard	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Kentrell Garnett	Guard	29	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
London Fields	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.9Possessions61.9

96.9Offensive Efficiency109.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency96.9

-12.9Net Efficiency12.9

49.1%Effective FG%47.5%

50.3%True Shooting %50.7%

24.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

22.2%Free Throw Rate28.8%

51.9%3-Point Rate28.8%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Louisiana won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 61.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.