Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.0%Northern Colorado

19.0%Chicago State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -426

Chicago State

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 81

Projected Total152.4

Projected ScoreChicago State 71

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricChicago State

53.7MMH Power Index36.1

116.0Offensive Efficiency99.4

107.6Defensive Efficiency114.9

8.4Net Efficiency-15.5

-4.3Strength of Schedule0.5

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.3

71.1Tempo66.2

56.9%Effective FG%45.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.8%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

27.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

6.0Average Margin-10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–36.1), offensive efficiency (116.0–99.4), defensive efficiency (107.6–114.9), net efficiency (8.4–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-4.3), offensive rebounding (29.1–27.9), free throw rate (30.7–27.8).

Final

Northern Colorado

78—77

Chicago State

Northern Colorado by 1 • 75.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATChicago State

31-66FG29-57

47.0%FG%51.0%

8-273PT7-18

30.0%3PT%39.0%

8-10FT12-19

80.0%FT%63.0%

33Rebounds28

14Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists8

20Turnovers16

6Steals12

5Blocks5

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dejour Reaves	G	39	9-20	2-8	4-5	5	4	0	0	24
Saint Thomas	Forward	42	10-17	2-7	0-0	10	2	3	2	22
Riley Abercrombie	Forward	37	5-10	2-5	0-0	7	1	0	1	12
Zach Bloch	G	33	3-5	2-4	0-1	1	0	1	2	8
Brock Wisne	F	29	2-9	0-1	4-4	5	2	1	0	8
Langston Reynolds	G	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Connor Creech	Guard	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Marcell McCreary	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Theo Hughes	Center	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Juju Ramirez	Forward	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	35	9-15	2-2	4-6	7	1	0	0	24
Jahsean Corbett	Guard	39	4-10	2-4	2-4	6	0	0	1	12
Deshawn Jean-Charles	G	27	4-8	1-4	2-2	4	2	2	0	11
Kedrick Green	Guard	14	4-5	1-1	1-1	0	1	0	0	10
Brent Davis	Guard	32	2-7	0-3	2-4	3	0	4	0	6
Noble Crawford	Forward	33	2-5	0-1	1-2	7	2	2	4	5
A.J. Neal Jr.	G	21	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Cameron Jernigan	Forward	15	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	2	3	0	4
Tristan Arneaud	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.4Possessions75.4

103.4Offensive Efficiency102.1

102.1Defensive Efficiency103.4

1.3Net Efficiency-1.3

53.0%Effective FG%57.0%

55.1%True Shooting %58.3%

26.1%Turnover Rate21.6%

15.2%Free Throw Rate33.3%

40.9%3-Point Rate31.6%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 75.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.