North Carolina Central

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.1%North Carolina Central

61.9%The Citadel

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADThe Citadel -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.1

MODEL MONEYLINEThe Citadel -162

The Citadel

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina Central 73

Projected Total149.1

Projected ScoreThe Citadel 76

Team Comparison

North Carolina CentralMetricThe Citadel

35.8MMH Power Index35.6

104.9Offensive Efficiency106.1

110.2Defensive Efficiency116.9

-5.3Net Efficiency-10.8

-8.0Strength of Schedule-1.3

-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.2

68.5Tempo66.3

49.8%Effective FG%50.4%

17.7%Turnover Rate15.7%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

39.7%Free Throw Rate29.6%

-3.6Average Margin-7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina Central HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina Central holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (35.8–35.6), defensive efficiency (110.2–116.9), net efficiency (-5.3–-10.8), recent form (-5.4–-16.2).

The Citadel COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.1–104.9), strength of schedule (-1.3–-8.0), shooting efficiency (50.4–49.8).

Final

North Carolina Central

61—67

The Citadel

The Citadel by 6 • 62.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Carolina CentralTEAM STATThe Citadel

22-52FG23-60

42.0%FG%38.0%

5-193PT11-29

26.0%3PT%38.0%

12-17FT10-11

71.0%FT%91.0%

33Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds12

8Assists13

10Turnovers8

6Steals7

3Blocks1

10Fouls15

Player Box Score

North Carolina Central

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fred Cleveland Jr.	Guard	32	6-10	3-5	2-2	4	3	1	0	17
Ja'Darius Harris	Guard	35	5-9	2-4	2-2	1	3	0	0	14
Po'Boigh King	G	31	5-13	0-4	4-4	8	1	1	0	14
Josh Smith	G	15	2-6	0-1	2-4	3	0	1	1	6
Keishon Porter	G	26	2-4	0-1	1-1	2	0	2	0	5
Emmanuel Izunabor	Forward	26	1-1	0-0	1-3	10	1	1	1	3
Perry Smith Jr.	C	14	1-4	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	1	2
Devin Gordon	Forward	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Guy Fauntleroy	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cobey Harraway	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

The Citadel

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Smith	G	33	8-14	3-6	2-2	5	1	2	0	21
Elijah Morgan	Guard	33	4-13	4-12	4-4	5	1	0	0	16
Christian Moore	F	20	5-10	3-5	2-2	7	2	0	0	15
Winston Hill	Forward	25	3-6	1-1	0-1	8	2	1	0	7
Quentin Millora-Brown	Forward	32	2-8	0-1	0-0	8	5	1	1	4
Madison Durr	G	36	1-6	0-2	0-0	2	2	2	0	2
Keynan Davis	G	16	0-3	0-2	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Levi Birkholz	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Colby McAllister	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tony Carpio	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.2Possessions62.2

98.1Offensive Efficiency107.7

107.7Defensive Efficiency98.1

-9.6Net Efficiency9.6

47.1%Effective FG%47.5%

50.8%True Shooting %51.4%

15.9%Turnover Rate13.1%

32.7%Free Throw Rate18.3%

36.5%3-Point Rate48.3%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

The Citadel won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 62.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.