South Carolina Upstate

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.7%South Carolina Upstate

56.3%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBall State -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL142.7

MODEL MONEYLINEBall State -129

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Carolina Upstate 70

Projected Total142.7

Projected ScoreBall State 72

Team Comparison

South Carolina UpstateMetricBall State

43.6MMH Power Index41.3

104.5Offensive Efficiency101.7

103.7Defensive Efficiency104.7

0.8Net Efficiency-3.0

-3.8Strength of Schedule-3.9

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

71.1Tempo66.4

50.3%Effective FG%48.3%

17.6%Turnover Rate16.0%

30.1%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

34.0%Free Throw Rate33.0%

0.6Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Carolina Upstate HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Carolina Upstate holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–41.3), offensive efficiency (104.5–101.7), defensive efficiency (103.7–104.7), net efficiency (0.8–-3.0).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-0.9–-4.9), ball security (16.0–17.6).

Final

South Carolina Upstate

58—75

Ball State

Ball State by 17 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Carolina UpstateTEAM STATBall State

24-57FG28-58

42.0%FG%48.0%

5-213PT4-16

24.0%3PT%25.0%

5-7FT15-18

71.0%FT%83.0%

24Rebounds42

5Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists14

11Turnovers10

6Steals5

3Blocks4

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

South Carolina Upstate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trae Broadnax	G	33	7-11	0-0	0-0	3	4	2	0	14
Justin Bailey	G	34	4-11	1-7	4-5	3	0	0	1	13
Ahmir Langlais	Forward	31	4-10	0-0	1-1	8	1	1	2	9
Jordyn Surratt	F	25	2-4	1-2	0-1	5	0	1	0	5
Jalen Breazeale	Guard	18	2-6	1-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Nick Alves	Guard	13	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	5
Miguel Ayesa	Guard	18	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Floyd Rideau Jr.	Guard	17	1-7	0-4	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Patrick Iriel	Forward	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jorge Ochoa	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Eddie Placer	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	37	9-14	1-2	5-5	6	1	1	0	24
Basheer Jihad	Forward	29	5-11	0-3	2-3	5	3	1	0	12
Davion Bailey	G	36	4-12	3-7	0-0	5	2	1	0	11
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	25	3-9	0-2	4-4	4	6	1	0	10
Ben Hendriks	Center	16	3-3	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	4	7
Trent Middleton Jr.	G	13	2-4	0-1	1-2	2	1	0	0	5
Mason Jones	F	30	1-3	0-0	2-2	7	1	1	0	4
Zane Doughty	C	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Micah Bell	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Joey Brown	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jurica Zagorsak	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

89.2Offensive Efficiency115.4

115.4Defensive Efficiency89.2

-26.2Net Efficiency26.2

46.5%Effective FG%51.7%

48.1%True Shooting %56.3%

16.6%Turnover Rate15.7%

12.3%Free Throw Rate31.0%

36.8%3-Point Rate27.6%

0.91Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Ball State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.