Western Illinois

5-26

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.0%Western Illinois

96.0%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -20.8

PROJECTED TOTAL142.8

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -2400

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 61

Projected Total142.8

Projected ScoreValparaiso 82

Team Comparison

Western IllinoisMetricValparaiso

25.9MMH Power Index49.9

96.2Offensive Efficiency106.6

113.9Defensive Efficiency105.8

-17.7Net Efficiency0.8

-2.4Strength of Schedule0.3

-26.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

67.5Tempo67.5

45.4%Effective FG%48.7%

17.5%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

37.5%Free Throw Rate40.0%

-11.9Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–25.9), offensive efficiency (106.6–96.2), defensive efficiency (105.8–113.9), net efficiency (0.8–-17.7).

Final

Western Illinois

66—73

Valparaiso

Valparaiso by 7 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western IllinoisTEAM STATValparaiso

25-59FG26-55

42.0%FG%47.0%

5-193PT7-16

26.0%3PT%44.0%

11-14FT14-20

79.0%FT%70.0%

40Rebounds27

14Offensive Rebounds6

18Assists16

15Turnovers10

6Steals8

2Blocks4

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jesiah West	Forward	35	8-15	1-3	2-3	6	2	2	1	19
James Dent Jr.	G	39	4-12	2-7	5-6	6	7	1	0	15
Drew Cisse	Center	32	6-9	0-0	1-1	14	0	1	1	13
Ryan Myers	G	23	2-6	2-5	0-0	2	4	1	0	6
Quinlan Bennett	Guard	35	2-6	0-0	1-2	3	4	1	0	5
Tay Knox	C	10	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Braden Lamar	Guard	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
De'Meiko Anderson	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
KJ Lee	Guard	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Shay Davis	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
JJ Kalakon	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ola Ajiboye	F	31	8-10	0-0	5-10	8	1	1	2	21
Cooper Schwieger	F	36	5-11	2-4	1-1	3	0	0	2	13
Jahari Williamson	G	22	5-10	3-6	0-0	1	1	3	0	13
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	31	4-5	1-1	2-2	1	7	1	0	11
Isaiah Stafford	G	31	1-7	0-2	6-7	7	5	2	0	8
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	16	3-7	1-3	0-0	0	2	1	0	7
Jaxon Edwards	G	23	0-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Jerome Palm	F	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

97.6Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency97.6

-10.4Net Efficiency10.4

46.6%Effective FG%53.6%

50.3%True Shooting %56.6%

22.5%Turnover Rate14.6%

23.7%Free Throw Rate36.4%

32.2%3-Point Rate29.1%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.