Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.6%Fresno State

72.4%New Mexico State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico State -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico State -262

New Mexico State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 70

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 77

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricNew Mexico State

47.1MMH Power Index51.2

104.9Offensive Efficiency108.9

104.9Defensive Efficiency104.5

0.0Net Efficiency4.4

1.5Strength of Schedule-0.7

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

69.4Tempo68.9

51.3%Effective FG%48.6%

18.2%Turnover Rate15.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

35.5%Free Throw Rate37.0%

0.0Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–47.1), offensive efficiency (108.9–104.9), defensive efficiency (104.5–104.9), net efficiency (4.4–0.0).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-0.7), shooting efficiency (51.3–48.6).

Final

Fresno State

81—76

New Mexico State

Fresno State by 5 • 74.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATNew Mexico State

23-53FG26-59

43.0%FG%44.0%

12-273PT8-25

44.0%3PT%32.0%

23-31FT16-23

74.0%FT%70.0%

29Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists20

14Turnovers12

7Steals9

1Blocks4

20Fouls24

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Hill	Guard	40	5-14	4-9	7-7	3	5	2	0	21
Donavan Yap	Guard	32	5-10	2-4	8-8	2	4	0	0	20
Xavier DuSell	Guard	37	4-11	4-10	0-0	4	1	2	0	12
Leo Colimerio	Forward	33	2-5	1-2	3-4	8	2	0	0	8
Eduardo Andre	Center	28	2-3	0-0	4-10	7	0	1	0	8
Jalen Weaver	Guard	17	3-7	1-2	1-2	0	1	0	0	8
Enoch Boakye	Forward	22	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	2
Isaiah Pope	Guard	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Isaac Taveras	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Carpenter	Forward	26	7-11	2-5	4-4	3	0	2	1	20
Jaden Harris	G	39	5-11	4-8	3-4	4	2	1	1	17
Christian Cook	Guard	35	5-10	1-4	4-4	3	2	0	1	15
Femi Odukale	Guard	39	4-11	1-3	3-8	7	5	1	0	12
Kaosi Ezeagu	Forward	24	3-7	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	7
Jordan Rawls	Guard	33	2-5	0-2	1-1	4	10	2	0	5
Clarence Jackson	Forward	16	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	2	0	0
Yaak Yaak	C	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	0
Keylon Dorsey	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.8Possessions74.8

108.3Offensive Efficiency101.6

101.6Defensive Efficiency108.3

6.7Net Efficiency-6.7

54.7%Effective FG%50.8%

59.8%True Shooting %54.3%

18.7%Turnover Rate16.0%

58.5%Free Throw Rate39.0%

50.9%3-Point Rate42.4%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 74.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.