App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%App State

60.9%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -156

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 75

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreMurray State 78

Team Comparison

App StateMetricMurray State

54.2MMH Power Index53.6

110.9Offensive Efficiency115.0

101.7Defensive Efficiency111.0

9.2Net Efficiency4.0

-4.2Strength of Schedule3.5

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

64.9Tempo72.3

51.1%Effective FG%54.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.3%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

39.8%Free Throw Rate39.1%

6.0Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–53.6), defensive efficiency (101.7–111.0), net efficiency (9.2–4.0), recent form (7.0–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–110.9), strength of schedule (3.5–-4.2), shooting efficiency (54.0–51.1).

Final

App State

67—57

Murray State

App State by 10 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATMurray State

24-61FG22-58

39.0%FG%38.0%

7-263PT3-18

27.0%3PT%17.0%

12-16FT10-16

75.0%FT%63.0%

43Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists6

10Turnovers11

5Steals5

7Blocks2

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Gregory	Forward	29	6-7	0-0	4-6	6	1	1	0	16
Terence Harcum	Guard	23	3-13	2-7	5-6	3	0	0	0	13
Tre'Von Spillers	F	33	5-12	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	3	10
Jordan Marsh	G	16	3-5	2-4	0-0	0	3	0	0	8
Myles Tate	Guard	16	2-8	2-7	2-2	4	2	1	1	8
Christopher Mantis	Forward	24	2-7	1-6	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
CJ Huntley	Forward	18	1-4	0-2	1-2	5	1	0	0	3
Justin Abson	F	25	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	2	2
Xavion Brown	Guard	16	1-4	0-0	0-0	6	3	1	1	2

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brian Moore Jr.	G	34	6-12	0-0	6-8	3	0	1	0	18
JaCobi Wood	Guard	37	4-12	1-6	2-3	5	3	0	0	11
Rob Perry	Guard	35	4-13	2-6	0-0	9	1	1	0	10
Nick Ellington	F	32	4-7	0-0	2-4	8	2	3	2	10
Quincy Anderson	Guard	17	3-7	0-3	0-1	2	0	0	0	6
Shawn Walker Jr.	Guard	28	1-6	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Justin Morgan	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Malek Abdelgowad	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

97.7Offensive Efficiency83.1

83.1Defensive Efficiency97.7

14.6Net Efficiency-14.6

45.1%Effective FG%40.5%

48.8%True Shooting %43.4%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.8%

26.2%Free Throw Rate27.6%

42.6%3-Point Rate31.0%

1.30Assist / Turnover0.55

Game Summary

App State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.