Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.4%Georgia State

74.6%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -294

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 69

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 76

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricLittle Rock

38.9MMH Power Index44

101.3Offensive Efficiency103.0

107.5Defensive Efficiency108.2

-6.2Net Efficiency-5.2

-1.7Strength of Schedule0.5

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

69.5Tempo68.5

45.3%Effective FG%50.3%

15.6%Turnover Rate18.7%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

37.4%Free Throw Rate28.6%

-4.3Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–38.9), offensive efficiency (103.0–101.3), net efficiency (-5.2–-6.2), strength of schedule (0.5–-1.7).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–108.2), ball security (15.6–18.7), free throw rate (37.4–28.6).

Final

Georgia State

93—90

Little Rock

Georgia State by 3 • 86.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATLittle Rock

29-64FG27-62

45.0%FG%44.0%

6-183PT4-16

33.0%3PT%25.0%

29-34FT32-39

85.0%FT%82.0%

35Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists12

12Turnovers18

2Steals6

1Blocks5

27Fouls26

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Toneari Lane	G	43	6-12	3-6	8-9	7	0	0	0	23
Jay'Den Turner	Forward	43	6-14	1-3	3-4	8	1	1	0	16
Lucas Taylor	Guard	34	5-18	1-6	2-2	3	1	0	1	13
Brenden Tucker	Guard	30	1-1	0-0	9-10	1	2	0	0	11
Dwon Odom	Guard	19	3-3	0-0	4-4	4	3	1	0	10
Leslie Nkereuwem	Forward	17	4-6	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	8
Jamaine Mann	Guard	11	3-5	1-2	1-1	2	1	0	0	8
Rickey Bradley Jr.	G	25	1-5	0-1	1-2	2	2	0	0	3
Ed Nnamoko	F	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KK Robinson	G	35	8-14	2-3	8-9	7	7	1	1	26
Cougar Downing	G	31	3-10	1-6	13-16	1	1	1	0	20
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	43	7-11	0-0	5-7	6	1	1	3	19
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	21	3-7	0-2	2-2	3	0	0	0	8
Pavle Kuzmanovic	Guard	32	2-8	0-2	0-0	2	1	2	0	4
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Creed Williamson	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Bradley Douglas	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

86.4Possessions86.4

107.6Offensive Efficiency104.2

104.2Defensive Efficiency107.6

3.5Net Efficiency-3.5

50.0%Effective FG%46.8%

58.0%True Shooting %55.9%

14.3%Turnover Rate20.3%

53.1%Free Throw Rate62.9%

28.1%3-Point Rate25.8%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Georgia State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 86.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.