Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.6%Texas State

38.4%Southern Utah

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.4

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -160

Southern Utah

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 77

Projected Total152.4

Projected ScoreSouthern Utah 75

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricSouthern Utah

49.4MMH Power Index40.6

107.7Offensive Efficiency105.6

103.4Defensive Efficiency110.0

4.3Net Efficiency-4.4

-4.7Strength of Schedule-3.0

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.3

68.6Tempo72.3

51.3%Effective FG%52.6%

18.4%Turnover Rate19.6%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

36.0%Free Throw Rate34.4%

2.9Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–40.6), offensive efficiency (107.7–105.6), defensive efficiency (103.4–110.0), net efficiency (4.3–-4.4).

Southern Utah COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.0–-4.7), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.3).

Final

Texas State

67—74

Southern Utah

Southern Utah by 7 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATSouthern Utah

27-63FG23-51

43.0%FG%45.0%

1-103PT8-23

10.0%3PT%35.0%

12-19FT20-26

63.0%FT%77.0%

40Rebounds31

16Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists13

11Turnovers11

4Steals7

3Blocks1

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaden Gumbs	G	34	7-16	0-0	1-2	10	4	0	0	15
Joshua O'Garro	G	31	5-9	0-1	2-4	7	1	1	0	12
Dontae Horne	G	27	3-11	0-3	6-9	6	1	1	0	12
Dylan Dawson	Guard	35	3-9	1-5	3-4	1	1	1	0	10
Brandon Love	Forward	32	5-10	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	3	10
Christian Turner	Forward	23	3-4	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
Chris Nix	Forward	10	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Elijah Tate	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zion Young	Guard	38	8-13	5-10	4-4	7	0	0	1	25
Dominique Ford	G	35	3-7	2-4	8-9	6	5	3	0	16
Braden Housley	G	38	5-13	1-6	2-6	4	1	3	0	13
Parsa Fallah	F	33	5-11	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	0	10
Prophet Johnson	G	32	1-2	0-0	6-6	2	3	0	0	8
Chazz Hutchison	Forward	9	1-1	0-0	0-1	2	0	1	0	2
Hayden Ledbetter	Guard	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Nestor Dyachok	F	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency110.1

110.1Defensive Efficiency99.7

-10.4Net Efficiency10.4

43.7%Effective FG%52.9%

46.5%True Shooting %58.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.3%

30.2%Free Throw Rate51.0%

15.9%3-Point Rate45.1%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Southern Utah won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.