Harvard

17-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.9%Harvard

52.1%Colgate

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColgate -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL144.2

MODEL MONEYLINEColgate -109

Colgate

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHarvard 71

Projected Total144.2

Projected ScoreColgate 73

Team Comparison

HarvardMetricColgate

52.6MMH Power Index48.8

108.1Offensive Efficiency111.7

102.9Defensive Efficiency109.0

5.2Net Efficiency2.7

-0.1Strength of Schedule-2.0

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

64.8Tempo68.4

53.4%Effective FG%54.5%

17.2%Turnover Rate14.8%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

27.9%Free Throw Rate30.0%

3.4Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Harvard HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHarvard holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.6–48.8), defensive efficiency (102.9–109.0), net efficiency (5.2–2.7), strength of schedule (-0.1–-2.0).

Colgate COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.7–108.1), shooting efficiency (54.5–53.4), ball security (14.8–17.2).

Final

Harvard

76—70

Colgate

Harvard by 6 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HarvardTEAM STATColgate

27-56FG25-68

48.0%FG%37.0%

9-223PT11-34

41.0%3PT%32.0%

13-20FT9-12

65.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds45

7Offensive Rebounds19

18Assists17

6Turnovers9

5Steals6

3Blocks1

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Harvard

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chisom Okpara	F	22	8-13	3-5	2-3	6	1	0	0	21
Malik Mack	G	35	4-10	1-2	7-8	2	8	2	0	16
Justice Ajogbor	C	29	7-11	0-0	1-2	5	3	0	3	15
Louis Lesmond	G	33	4-8	3-7	0-0	1	0	0	0	11
Denham Wojcik	G	12	2-3	2-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	8
Chandler Pigge	G	34	1-6	0-3	0-0	9	3	0	0	2
Thomas Batties II	F	20	1-2	0-1	0-1	3	2	1	0	2
Luca Ace-Nasteski	F	8	0-1	0-0	1-4	2	0	1	0	1
Tyler Simon	F	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	0

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nicolas Louis-Jacques	Guard	25	8-13	5-10	1-2	3	1	1	0	22
Braeden Smith	G	34	4-12	3-8	0-0	5	6	0	0	11
Keegan Records	Forward	28	3-9	0-1	5-6	8	2	2	0	11
Ryan Moffatt	Forward	33	4-13	2-9	0-0	6	2	0	0	10
Jalen Cox	G	18	3-6	0-0	0-0	3	3	1	0	6
Jeff Woodward	Forward	22	1-3	0-0	2-2	8	1	1	0	4
Parker Jones	G	16	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	0	1	1	3
Sam Thomson	Forward	14	1-4	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	3
Chandler Baker	Guard	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kyle Carlesimo	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

118.6Offensive Efficiency109.2

109.2Defensive Efficiency118.6

9.4Net Efficiency-9.4

56.3%Effective FG%44.9%

58.0%True Shooting %47.5%

9.3%Turnover Rate14.1%

35.7%Free Throw Rate17.6%

39.3%3-Point Rate50.0%

3.00Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

Harvard won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.