Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.4%Central Connecticut

78.6%Massachusetts

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMassachusetts -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMassachusetts -367

Massachusetts

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 73

Projected Total153.8

Projected ScoreMassachusetts 81

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricMassachusetts

44.4MMH Power Index51.5

111.4Offensive Efficiency110.3

107.0Defensive Efficiency106.7

4.4Net Efficiency3.6

-7.7Strength of Schedule0.9

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.2

66.3Tempo72.8

54.0%Effective FG%53.2%

15.9%Turnover Rate17.9%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %33.7%

31.3%Free Throw Rate37.7%

2.9Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.4–110.3), net efficiency (4.4–3.6), recent form (-0.5–-4.2), shooting efficiency (54.0–53.2).

Massachusetts COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (51.5–44.4), defensive efficiency (106.7–107.0), strength of schedule (0.9–-7.7).

Final

Central Connecticut

60—89

Massachusetts

Massachusetts by 29 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATMassachusetts

18-53FG35-58

34.0%FG%60.0%

7-223PT8-21

32.0%3PT%38.0%

17-22FT11-15

77.0%FT%73.0%

25Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists29

15Turnovers11

4Steals9

3Blocks5

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Brown	Forward	24	4-9	1-2	6-7	3	0	0	0	15
Abdul Momoh	F	19	2-4	1-1	6-6	3	0	0	2	11
Tre Breland	Guard	17	4-7	2-5	0-0	1	0	0	1	10
Jay Rodgers	G	28	3-8	2-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	8
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	19	1-3	1-2	1-2	1	2	2	0	4
Kellen Amos	Guard	31	1-5	0-4	1-2	6	7	1	0	3
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	30	1-5	0-1	1-1	2	2	1	0	3
Brody Limric	Forward	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jordan Jones	Guard	8	0-3	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
TJ Holloway	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Massachusetts

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Cross	Forward	27	11-13	3-3	6-9	9	4	2	2	31
Josh Cohen	Forward	21	10-11	1-1	5-6	7	2	0	1	26
Jaylen Curry	G	19	5-7	1-3	0-0	2	4	0	0	11
Tarique Foster	G	7	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Keon Thompson	G	21	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	4	3	1	4
Rahsool Diggins	Guard	24	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	6	1	0	3
Jayden Ndjigue	G	26	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	5	0	1	2
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	16	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	3	0	0	2
Daniel Hankins-Sanford	F	12	1-5	0-2	0-0	1	1	2	0	2
Mathok Majok	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Robert Davis Jr.	G	16	0-4	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Rollie Castineyra	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Marcus	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

89.8Offensive Efficiency133.2

133.2Defensive Efficiency89.8

-43.4Net Efficiency43.4

40.6%Effective FG%67.2%

47.3%True Shooting %68.3%

21.9%Turnover Rate16.9%

41.5%Free Throw Rate25.9%

41.5%3-Point Rate36.2%

0.93Assist / Turnover2.64

Game Summary

Massachusetts won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.