Wright State

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.1%Wright State

54.9%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -122

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWright State 74

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreIllinois State 77

Team Comparison

Wright StateMetricIllinois State

57.1MMH Power Index54.3

116.4Offensive Efficiency110.6

106.5Defensive Efficiency101.4

9.9Net Efficiency9.2

-2.0Strength of Schedule1.0

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

69.2Tempo67.5

55.2%Effective FG%54.3%

16.1%Turnover Rate16.8%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

38.3%Free Throw Rate32.0%

6.8Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wright State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWright State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–54.3), offensive efficiency (116.4–110.6), net efficiency (9.9–9.2), recent form (7.0–-4.4).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.4–106.5), strength of schedule (1.0–-2.0).

Final

Wright State

74—49

Illinois State

Wright State by 25 • 71.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wright StateTEAM STATIllinois State

26-57FG15-54

46.0%FG%28.0%

7-223PT2-22

32.0%3PT%9.0%

15-21FT17-19

71.0%FT%89.0%

40Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists5

12Turnovers17

8Steals8

3Blocks2

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

Wright State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Calvin	Guard	31	10-16	3-4	3-3	3	3	3	0	26
Brandon Noel	F	32	6-10	2-4	5-8	6	1	1	2	19
Alex Huibregtse	G	32	3-7	1-5	0-1	8	2	0	0	7
Drey Carter	F	17	2-3	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	6
Andrew Welage	Guard	22	1-5	1-4	2-2	4	1	1	1	5
AJ Braun	Forward	19	1-4	0-0	2-2	0	1	2	0	4
Kaden Brown	G	11	2-6	0-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Tanner Holden	Guard	19	1-4	0-0	1-3	5	0	0	0	3
Logan Woods	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Braden Grant	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bo Myers	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Burford	Guard	24	4-10	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Kendall Lewis	Forward	21	3-6	0-1	3-4	5	0	0	0	9
Myles Foster	Forward	22	2-3	0-0	4-5	5	0	2	0	8
Brandon Lieb	F	11	0-1	0-1	8-8	2	0	0	0	8
Johnny Kinziger	G	21	2-7	0-2	0-0	1	1	3	1	4
Ryan Schmitt	Forward	6	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Nik Stadelman	Guard	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Luke Kasubke	Guard	12	1-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Harouna Sissoko	Forward	7	0-2	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	2
Ty Pence	G	19	0-3	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	1	0
Jordan Davis	Guard	18	0-5	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Dalton Banks	Guard	17	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	13	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	2	0	0
Ty Blake	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.0Possessions71.0

104.2Offensive Efficiency69.0

69.0Defensive Efficiency104.2

35.2Net Efficiency-35.2

51.8%Effective FG%29.6%

55.2%True Shooting %38.9%

16.9%Turnover Rate23.9%

36.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

38.6%3-Point Rate40.7%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.29

Game Summary

Wright State won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 71.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.