Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%Southern Illinois

53.3%New Mexico State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico State -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL145.6

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico State -114

New Mexico State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 72

Projected Total145.6

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 74

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricNew Mexico State

54.6MMH Power Index51.2

103.4Offensive Efficiency108.9

98.5Defensive Efficiency104.5

4.9Net Efficiency4.4

1.6Strength of Schedule-0.7

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

70.6Tempo68.9

49.5%Effective FG%48.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.2%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

32.3%Free Throw Rate37.0%

3.4Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–51.2), defensive efficiency (98.5–104.5), net efficiency (4.9–4.4), strength of schedule (1.6–-0.7).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.9–103.4), ball security (15.2–17.0), offensive rebounding (33.1–31.1).

Final

Southern Illinois

81—54

New Mexico State

Southern Illinois by 27 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATNew Mexico State

24-54FG15-47

44.0%FG%32.0%

16-353PTnull-9

46.0%3PT%0.0%

17-26FT24-29

65.0%FT%83.0%

32Rebounds36

7Offensive Rebounds10

22Assists7

5Turnovers12

5Steals1

4Blocks—

21Fouls23

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	35	3-11	3-6	9-12	5	7	1	0	18
Troy D'Amico	Forward	33	4-9	3-7	2-2	3	6	1	0	13
Jovan Stulic	Guard	22	5-10	2-6	1-2	2	1	0	0	13
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	25	4-8	4-8	0-0	6	1	2	0	12
Trent Brown	Guard	33	3-5	3-5	0-0	2	2	0	1	9
Clarence Rupert	Forward	14	3-5	1-1	0-0	5	2	1	1	7
Trey Miller	G	15	0-2	0-1	4-4	1	2	0	0	4
Scottie Ebube	C	10	1-1	0-0	0-4	5	1	0	2	2
AJ Ferguson	Guard	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
R.J. McGee	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Femi Odukale	Guard	29	6-11	0-0	6-10	8	2	1	18
Robert Carpenter	Forward	27	4-8	0-1	5-5	7	0	0	13
Kaosi Ezeagu	Forward	24	4-7	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	11
Christian Cook	Guard	36	1-9	0-3	6-6	4	0	0	8
Clarence Jackson	Forward	17	0-0	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	2
Yaak Yaak	C	9	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	2
Jordan Rawls	Guard	29	0-6	0-1	0-0	3	5	0	0
Jaden Harris	G	24	0-5	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0
Keylon Dorsey	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

127.4Offensive Efficiency84.9

84.9Defensive Efficiency127.4

42.5Net Efficiency-42.5

59.3%Effective FG%31.9%

61.0%True Shooting %44.4%

7.8%Turnover Rate19.1%

48.1%Free Throw Rate61.7%

64.8%3-Point Rate19.1%

4.40Assist / Turnover0.58

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.