Pepperdine

9-23

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.1%Pepperdine

76.9%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -9.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana State -333

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePepperdine 71

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreIndiana State 81

Team Comparison

PepperdineMetricIndiana State

38.2MMH Power Index44.4

103.2Offensive Efficiency104.7

113.6Defensive Efficiency106.0

-10.4Net Efficiency-1.3

0.7Strength of Schedule0.1

-10.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

70.0Tempo70.3

48.7%Effective FG%53.6%

18.3%Turnover Rate19.5%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

34.0%Free Throw Rate28.8%

-7.3Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–38.2), offensive efficiency (104.7–103.2), defensive efficiency (106.0–113.6), net efficiency (-1.3–-10.4).

Pepperdine COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.7–0.1), ball security (18.3–19.5), offensive rebounding (31.1–27.3).

Final

Pepperdine

82—90

Indiana State

Indiana State by 8 • 73.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PepperdineTEAM STATIndiana State

35-63FG29-49

56.0%FG%59.0%

6-153PT10-23

40.0%3PT%43.0%

6-9FT22-31

67.0%FT%71.0%

26Rebounds27

9Offensive Rebounds7

18Assists16

16Turnovers15

4Steals7

1Blocks—

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Pepperdine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Houston Mallette	G	36	12-20	5-6	2-2	5	5	0	0	31
Michael Ajayi	F	37	11-21	1-2	2-4	8	5	2	0	25
Jalen Pitre	F	27	4-5	0-1	1-2	3	1	1	0	9
Nils Cooper	G	20	3-5	0-2	1-1	3	1	1	0	7
Malik Messina-Moore	G	29	3-6	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	6
Ethan Anderson	Guard	29	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	4	0	1	4
Aladji Gassama	Center	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cord Stansberry	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Curtis Williams	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Isaiah Swope	Guard	26	9-15	2-6	1-2	4	1	3	21
Robbie Avila	C	36	4-5	1-2	9-12	8	3	0	18
Jayson Kent	Forward	32	4-6	1-2	7-9	3	1	1	16
Julian Larry	Guard	35	4-7	1-2	2-2	2	6	2	11
Ryan Conwell	G	23	3-5	3-4	1-4	2	1	0	10
Xavier Bledson	Guard	23	4-7	2-4	0-0	2	3	0	10
Masen Miller	Guard	16	1-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	1	2
Jake Wolfe	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.0Possessions73.0

112.3Offensive Efficiency123.3

123.3Defensive Efficiency112.3

-11.0Net Efficiency11.0

60.3%Effective FG%69.4%

60.9%True Shooting %70.6%

21.5%Turnover Rate20.9%

14.3%Free Throw Rate63.3%

23.8%3-Point Rate46.9%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 73.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.