Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.6%Toledo

61.4%UC Irvine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -159

UC Irvine

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 74

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 80

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricUC Irvine

58.8MMH Power Index58.4

116.0Offensive Efficiency106.9

109.6Defensive Efficiency95.0

6.4Net Efficiency11.9

2.3Strength of Schedule-1.0

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

69.8Tempo72.3

55.1%Effective FG%50.7%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.6%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

30.3%Free Throw Rate36.5%

4.5Average Margin8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–58.4), offensive efficiency (116.0–106.9), strength of schedule (2.3–-1.0), recent form (10.2–10.0).

UC Irvine COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (95.0–109.6), net efficiency (11.9–6.4), offensive rebounding (33.1–30.4).

Final

Toledo

71—77

UC Irvine

UC Irvine by 6 • 69.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATUC Irvine

25-64FG27-54

39.0%FG%50.0%

4-123PT6-13

33.0%3PT%46.0%

17-19FT17-23

89.0%FT%74.0%

37Rebounds31

18Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists15

14Turnovers14

3Steals8

2Blocks3

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	31	7-14	1-3	4-5	5	4	0	0	19
Sonny Wilson	G	30	5-17	0-2	4-4	6	3	1	0	14
Javan Simmons	F	29	4-10	0-1	6-6	4	1	1	2	14
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	32	3-8	2-5	2-2	1	3	1	0	10
Sam Lewis	G	13	2-5	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Ben Wight	Forward	10	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Tyler Cochran	G	21	1-6	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	0	2
Bryce Ford	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Grgur Brcic	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Tillis	F	24	8-8	4-4	4-5	4	1	0	0	24
Derin Saran	G	20	5-12	0-0	5-6	4	1	1	0	15
Justin Hohn	Guard	27	3-9	1-4	4-4	2	2	2	0	11
Andre Henry	G	26	3-5	1-2	1-2	5	3	3	0	8
Dean Keeler	Forward	23	3-7	0-0	0-3	7	0	0	1	6
Carter Welling	F	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	2	4
Hayden Welling	F	7	1-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Ofure Ujadughele	Guard	13	1-2	0-0	1-1	1	2	0	0	3
Pierre Crockrell II	Guard	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	4	0	0	2
Langston Redfield	G	20	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Dylan Thoerner	Guard	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.0Possessions69.0

102.9Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency102.9

-8.7Net Efficiency8.7

42.2%Effective FG%55.6%

48.6%True Shooting %59.3%

20.3%Turnover Rate20.3%

29.7%Free Throw Rate42.6%

18.8%3-Point Rate24.1%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

UC Irvine won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 69.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.