Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Iowa State

34.8%VCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -187

VCU

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 78

Projected Total152.0

Projected ScoreVCU 74

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricVCU

75.9MMH Power Index65.7

119.3Offensive Efficiency116.4

96.0Defensive Efficiency103.3

23.3Net Efficiency13.1

4.9Strength of Schedule5.4

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency6.0

68.4Tempo69.5

56.1%Effective FG%53.7%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

35.2%Free Throw Rate42.9%

15.9Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–65.7), offensive efficiency (119.3–116.4), defensive efficiency (96.0–103.3), net efficiency (23.3–13.1).

VCU COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.4–4.9), free throw rate (42.9–35.2).

Final

Iowa State

68—64

VCU

Iowa State by 4 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATVCU

24-59FG20-44

41.0%FG%45.0%

2-133PT10-23

15.0%3PT%43.0%

18-30FT14-18

60.0%FT%78.0%

38Rebounds29

17Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists11

7Turnovers16

7Steals3

1Blocks5

14Fouls22

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tamin Lipsey	G	38	8-16	2-5	4-8	7	4	3	22
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	29	5-12	0-1	12-15	10	2	1	22
Tre King	Forward	30	2-4	0-0	0-1	3	0	2	4
Curtis Jones	Guard	28	1-9	0-3	2-4	3	4	0	4
Milan Momcilovic	F	27	2-9	0-4	0-0	0	0	0	4
Omaha Biliew	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Jackson Paveletzke	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Demarion Watson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Shulga	Guard	37	4-9	4-7	5-6	3	8	1	0	17
Michael Belle	F	28	4-6	2-2	4-4	3	2	0	1	14
Christian Fermin	F	37	5-5	0-0	2-4	2	1	1	3	12
Zeb Jackson	Guard	35	4-12	2-7	0-0	5	0	1	0	10
Jason Nelson	G	17	2-6	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Tobi Lawal	F	27	1-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	3
Kuany Kuany	Guard	16	0-2	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Alphonzo Billups III	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

107.1Offensive Efficiency100.8

100.8Defensive Efficiency107.1

6.3Net Efficiency-6.3

42.4%Effective FG%56.8%

46.4%True Shooting %60.9%

11.1%Turnover Rate25.2%

50.8%Free Throw Rate40.9%

22.0%3-Point Rate52.3%

1.57Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.