NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.4%NC State

81.6%Vanderbilt

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVanderbilt -10.2

PROJECTED TOTAL164.5

MODEL MONEYLINEVanderbilt -443

Vanderbilt

27-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 77

Projected Total164.5

Projected ScoreVanderbilt 87

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricVanderbilt

60.1MMH Power Index68.9

118.4Offensive Efficiency120.9

108.6Defensive Efficiency105.7

9.8Net Efficiency15.2

6.4Strength of Schedule7.4

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

70.2Tempo70.9

55.1%Effective FG%55.3%

13.1%Turnover Rate13.5%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

35.7%Free Throw Rate39.3%

6.9Average Margin10.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Vanderbilt HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVanderbilt holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–60.1), offensive efficiency (120.9–118.4), defensive efficiency (105.7–108.6), net efficiency (15.2–9.8).

NC State COUNTERS WITHball security (13.1–13.5).

Final

NC State

84—78

Vanderbilt

NC State by 6 • 80.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATVanderbilt

30-70FG25-56

43.0%FG%45.0%

8-193PT7-22

42.0%3PT%32.0%

16-21FT21-30

76.0%FT%70.0%

37Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists11

12Turnovers19

12Steals9

3Blocks3

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	33	7-10	2-3	2-4	9	2	0	2	18
Jayden Taylor	Guard	25	6-12	1-3	5-7	3	2	2	0	18
DJ Burns	Forward	29	6-18	0-0	1-1	9	4	3	0	13
Casey Morsell	Guard	36	4-11	2-5	2-2	5	2	2	1	12
Michael O'Connell	Guard	27	3-6	1-4	2-2	4	4	3	0	9
DJ Horne	Guard	25	2-7	2-3	3-4	1	2	1	0	9
Breon Pass	Guard	8	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	1	0	0	3
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	7	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Vanderbilt

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrin Lawrence	Guard	29	5-11	1-2	10-14	7	2	4	0	21
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	28	6-10	0-1	4-4	8	1	1	1	16
Jason Rivera-Torres	G	19	3-7	3-4	3-4	3	0	1	0	12
Evan Taylor	Guard	28	4-8	1-2	0-0	3	1	1	2	9
Paul Lewis	G	32	3-8	2-6	0-0	4	3	0	0	8
Colin Smith	F	24	2-6	0-4	0-0	5	0	2	0	4
Jordan Williams	G	9	1-2	0-1	2-2	1	3	0	0	4
JaQualon Roberts	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Lee Dort	F	7	0-0	0-0	1-4	2	0	0	0	1
Isaiah West	G	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Tasos Kamateros	Forward	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.7Possessions80.7

104.1Offensive Efficiency96.7

96.7Defensive Efficiency104.1

7.4Net Efficiency-7.4

48.6%Effective FG%50.9%

52.5%True Shooting %55.5%

14.8%Turnover Rate23.7%

30.0%Free Throw Rate53.6%

27.1%3-Point Rate39.3%

1.42Assist / Turnover0.58

Game Summary

NC State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 80.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.