Mercer

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.2%Mercer

65.8%Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL160.0

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -192

Tennessee State

23-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercer 78

Projected Total160.0

Projected ScoreTennessee State 82

Team Comparison

MercerMetricTennessee State

54.1MMH Power Index55.4

116.6Offensive Efficiency110.9

106.5Defensive Efficiency102.7

10.1Net Efficiency8.2

-4.4Strength of Schedule-3.1

1.2Last 10 Net Efficiency13.7

70.9Tempo72.4

53.8%Effective FG%50.9%

14.7%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

38.9%Free Throw Rate34.7%

7.2Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercer HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercer holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (116.6–110.9), net efficiency (10.1–8.2), shooting efficiency (53.8–50.9), ball security (14.7–17.0).

Tennessee State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (55.4–54.1), defensive efficiency (102.7–106.5), strength of schedule (-3.1–-4.4).

Final

Mercer

60—59

Tennessee State

Mercer by 1 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercerTEAM STATTennessee State

22-46FG19-52

48.0%FG%37.0%

9-193PT5-16

47.0%3PT%31.0%

7-13FT16-18

54.0%FT%89.0%

35Rebounds28

10Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists10

23Turnovers15

7Steals10

6Blocks1

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robby Carmody	Guard	30	5-9	5-7	0-1	3	1	1	0	15
Amanze Ngumezi	Forward	25	4-7	1-2	3-6	8	1	1	3	12
Jake Davis	F	30	4-9	2-6	0-1	6	0	1	1	10
Jah Quinones	Guard	29	4-4	0-0	0-1	4	3	0	1	8
Caleb Hunter	Guard	25	2-5	1-1	2-2	3	3	3	0	7
Jalyn McCreary	Forward	17	2-7	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	6
Jalen Cobb	Guard	21	1-5	0-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Anthony Benard	G	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
David Thomas	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Alex Holt	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylen Jones	G	34	4-9	1-3	9-10	5	3	1	0	18
Kinyon Hodges	Guard	36	6-12	0-1	5-5	6	1	5	0	17
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	29	3-9	1-3	2-2	4	2	0	0	9
Knute Wood	Guard	12	2-3	2-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	6
Michael Shanks	Forward	29	2-7	0-3	0-1	2	2	2	0	4
EJ Bellinger	Guard	31	1-9	1-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	3
David Acosta	Forward	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Justin Williams	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Jason Jitoboh	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

91.0Offensive Efficiency89.5

89.5Defensive Efficiency91.0

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

57.6%Effective FG%41.3%

57.5%True Shooting %48.7%

35.3%Turnover Rate22.5%

28.3%Free Throw Rate34.6%

41.3%3-Point Rate30.8%

0.52Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Mercer won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.