Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.9%Penn State

84.1%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADButler -12.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.4

MODEL MONEYLINEButler -529

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 73

Projected Total158.4

Projected ScoreButler 85

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricButler

42.3MMH Power Index52.7

109.2Offensive Efficiency111.7

117.6Defensive Efficiency109.1

-8.4Net Efficiency2.6

5.3Strength of Schedule3.1

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

67.5Tempo71.1

53.4%Effective FG%51.2%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.9%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

34.6%Free Throw Rate42.9%

-5.7Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Butler HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMButler holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.7–42.3), offensive efficiency (111.7–109.2), defensive efficiency (109.1–117.6), net efficiency (2.6–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.3–3.1), shooting efficiency (53.4–51.2), ball security (15.6–15.9).

Final

Penn State

78—88

Butler

Butler by 10 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATButler

31-71FG31-62

44.0%FG%50.0%

10-313PT9-28

32.0%3PT%32.0%

6-8FT17-19

75.0%FT%89.0%

36Rebounds35

14Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists13

10Turnovers9

5Steals4

1Blocks3

15Fouls10

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kanye Clary	G	35	13-22	2-8	0-0	5	3	2	0	28
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	32	4-12	3-8	4-4	1	1	0	0	15
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	25	6-9	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	0	12
Zach Hicks	Forward	29	4-7	3-5	0-0	8	3	0	0	11
Puff Johnson	G	21	1-5	1-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	4
Qudus Wahab	Forward	22	1-3	0-0	1-2	7	1	1	1	3
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	14	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	15	1-7	0-3	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Jameel Brown	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	38	9-13	5-9	3-4	3	2	2	0	26
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	37	7-14	1-4	3-3	8	2	1	0	18
DJ Davis	Guard	31	4-11	2-7	4-4	7	3	1	0	14
Andre Screen	Center	11	2-3	0-0	5-6	8	0	0	0	9
Landon Moore	G	24	2-5	0-3	2-2	1	3	0	0	6
Jalen Thomas	Forward	22	3-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	6
Posh Alexander	Guard	17	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Connor Turnbull	F	6	1-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	2	3
Boden Kapke	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Finley Bizjack	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

110.0Offensive Efficiency124.1

124.1Defensive Efficiency110.0

-14.1Net Efficiency14.1

50.7%Effective FG%57.3%

52.1%True Shooting %62.0%

14.1%Turnover Rate12.7%

11.3%Free Throw Rate30.6%

43.7%3-Point Rate45.2%

0.90Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Butler won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.