Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

69.0%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBall State -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL148.9

MODEL MONEYLINEBall State -223

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 71

Projected Total148.9

Projected ScoreBall State 78

Team Comparison

Arkansas-Pine BluffMetricBall State

38.7MMH Power Index41.3

106.4Offensive Efficiency101.7

111.6Defensive Efficiency104.7

-5.2Net Efficiency-3.0

-6.0Strength of Schedule-3.9

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

72.6Tempo66.4

51.4%Effective FG%48.3%

18.5%Turnover Rate16.0%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

37.7%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-3.8Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ball State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBall State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–38.7), defensive efficiency (104.7–111.6), net efficiency (-3.0–-5.2), strength of schedule (-3.9–-6.0).

Arkansas-Pine Bluff COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.4–101.7), recent form (1.3–-0.9), shooting efficiency (51.4–48.3).

Final

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

74—92

Ball State

Ball State by 18 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas-Pine BluffTEAM STATBall State

25-59FG33-54

42.0%FG%61.0%

13-293PT12-22

45.0%3PT%55.0%

11-15FT14-22

73.0%FT%64.0%

26Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists23

12Turnovers15

4Steals7

2Blocks—

21Fouls12

Player Box Score

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe French	Guard	36	10-21	7-14	2-2	1	1	1	0	29
Kylen Milton	Guard	29	5-11	2-5	3-7	4	3	0	0	15
Rashad Williams	Guard	32	2-11	1-4	6-6	1	5	2	0	11
Lonnell Martin Jr.	Forward	26	3-7	3-6	0-0	3	3	0	0	9
Robert Lewis	F	21	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Ismael Plet	Forward	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	1	1	2	2
Jyre McCloud	Guard	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Trejon Ware	G	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Kaine McColley	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Basheer Jihad	Forward	36	7-9	1-2	3-7	11	3	2	18
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	35	6-12	4-6	1-2	4	2	0	17
Davion Bailey	G	20	6-10	4-7	0-0	2	3	1	16
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	38	4-10	3-6	4-6	2	8	0	15
Ben Hendriks	Center	18	4-4	0-0	2-2	5	1	1	10
Mason Jones	F	20	4-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	8
Trent Middleton Jr.	G	20	2-4	0-0	4-5	2	5	1	8
Joey Brown	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0
Zane Doughty	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

107.6Offensive Efficiency133.7

133.7Defensive Efficiency107.6

-26.2Net Efficiency26.2

53.4%Effective FG%72.2%

56.0%True Shooting %71.4%

17.6%Turnover Rate21.6%

25.4%Free Throw Rate40.7%

49.2%3-Point Rate40.7%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.53

Game Summary

Ball State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.