Merrimack

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.5%Merrimack

63.5%Samford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSamford -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL145.1

MODEL MONEYLINESamford -174

Samford

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMerrimack 70

Projected Total145.1

Projected ScoreSamford 75

Team Comparison

MerrimackMetricSamford

53.7MMH Power Index54.1

106.4Offensive Efficiency113.5

103.2Defensive Efficiency108.3

3.2Net Efficiency5.2

0.7Strength of Schedule-2.9

12.9Last 10 Net Efficiency14.0

64.4Tempo69.5

49.3%Effective FG%54.0%

14.8%Turnover Rate13.3%

24.7%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

39.5%Free Throw Rate42.5%

2.1Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Samford HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSamford holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–53.7), offensive efficiency (113.5–106.4), net efficiency (5.2–3.2), recent form (14.0–12.9).

Merrimack COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.2–108.3), strength of schedule (0.7–-2.9).

Final

Merrimack

71—79

Samford

Samford by 8 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MerrimackTEAM STATSamford

24-53FG27-60

45.0%FG%45.0%

8-233PT12-22

35.0%3PT%55.0%

15-17FT13-17

88.0%FT%76.0%

27Rebounds39

8Offensive Rebounds16

13Assists18

16Turnovers19

12Steals9

8Blocks6

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devon Savage	Guard	31	6-11	4-9	0-0	2	1	0	0	16
Adam Clark	G	30	7-12	0-2	2-3	3	4	3	0	16
Jordan Derkack	G	30	3-14	1-5	6-6	7	4	3	0	13
Bryan Etumnu	F	31	3-5	0-1	3-4	10	1	2	5	9
Samba Diallo	Forward	29	1-3	1-2	2-2	0	1	1	1	5
Jaylen Stinson	G	20	1-3	1-2	2-2	1	1	2	0	5
Jordan McKoy	Guard	17	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	1	5
Jacob O'Connell	Forward	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Armandas Plintauskas	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Campbell	Guard	32	6-12	4-6	3-3	7	1	1	1	19
AJ Staton-McCray	G	25	4-10	2-3	8-8	5	2	3	0	18
Rylan Jones	Guard	29	4-7	4-6	1-2	1	4	0	1	13
Achor Achor	F	30	5-13	0-1	1-2	8	1	1	3	11
Riley Allenspach	F	11	3-6	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
Josh Holloway	G	15	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	3	1	0	4
Lukas Walls	G	13	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Garrett Hicks	Guard	13	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	3	1	0	3
Dallas Graziani	Guard	23	1-2	0-0	0-2	3	4	1	0	2
Nathan Johnson	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Chandler Leopard	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

101.3Offensive Efficiency112.7

112.7Defensive Efficiency101.3

-11.4Net Efficiency11.4

52.8%Effective FG%55.0%

58.1%True Shooting %58.0%

23.2%Turnover Rate26.7%

32.1%Free Throw Rate28.3%

43.4%3-Point Rate36.7%

0.81Assist / Turnover0.95

Game Summary

Samford won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.