Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.0%Lafayette

88.0%Pennsylvania

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPennsylvania -13.5

PROJECTED TOTAL148.4

MODEL MONEYLINEPennsylvania -733

Pennsylvania

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 67

Projected Total148.4

Projected ScorePennsylvania 81

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricPennsylvania

39.6MMH Power Index52.9

102.9Offensive Efficiency108.6

110.3Defensive Efficiency106.4

-7.4Net Efficiency2.2

-1.4Strength of Schedule1.9

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.3

67.5Tempo69.9

49.4%Effective FG%50.9%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.4%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

33.0%Free Throw Rate36.3%

-5.0Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Pennsylvania HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPennsylvania holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.9–39.6), offensive efficiency (108.6–102.9), defensive efficiency (106.4–110.3), net efficiency (2.2–-7.4).

Final

Lafayette

72—74

Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania by 2 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATPennsylvania

31-62FG23-55

50.0%FG%42.0%

8-213PT10-23

38.0%3PT%43.0%

2-5FT18-21

40.0%FT%86.0%

30Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds11

23Assists15

7Turnovers9

7Steals5

4Blocks4

14Fouls9

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Vander Baan	C	32	13-22	1-5	1-3	7	2	0	2	28
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	33	4-8	2-3	0-0	3	4	0	0	10
Eric Sondberg	Guard	22	3-5	3-4	0-0	6	2	0	0	9
Devin Hines	G	29	4-10	0-4	0-0	5	2	2	0	8
Chris Rubayo	F	8	4-7	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	8
Luke Rasmussen	G	23	1-3	1-2	1-2	0	1	0	0	4
Ryan Pettit	G	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Mark Butler	G	28	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	7	2	1	2
Luka Savicevic	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	2	0	0
Joshua Wyche	F	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	1	0

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Clark Slajchert	Guard	37	6-14	0-4	6-6	1	5	0	0	18
Tyler Perkins	G	30	4-7	3-5	3-3	5	2	2	0	14
Sam Brown	G	26	4-6	3-5	1-2	1	1	0	0	12
Nick Spinoso	Forward	27	3-10	0-0	3-4	10	3	0	3	9
Andrew Laczkowski	Guard	18	2-4	1-1	2-2	4	1	0	0	7
George Smith	Guard	19	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Cam Thrower	G	16	1-5	1-4	2-2	3	1	1	0	5
Augustus Gerhart	F	13	1-3	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	1	3
Ed Holland III	G	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	0	0
Johnnie Walter	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

113.9Offensive Efficiency117.1

117.1Defensive Efficiency113.9

-3.2Net Efficiency3.2

56.5%Effective FG%50.9%

55.9%True Shooting %56.9%

11.0%Turnover Rate14.3%

8.1%Free Throw Rate38.2%

33.9%3-Point Rate41.8%

3.29Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Pennsylvania won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.