Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.0%Iowa State

18.0%Virginia Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -9.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -456

Virginia Tech

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 81

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreVirginia Tech 72

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricVirginia Tech

75.9MMH Power Index57.7

119.3Offensive Efficiency112.8

96.0Defensive Efficiency107.2

23.3Net Efficiency5.6

4.9Strength of Schedule5.8

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.9

68.4Tempo69.8

56.1%Effective FG%52.3%

15.0%Turnover Rate14.9%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

35.2%Free Throw Rate34.7%

15.9Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–57.7), offensive efficiency (119.3–112.8), defensive efficiency (96.0–107.2), net efficiency (23.3–5.6).

Virginia Tech COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.8–4.9), ball security (14.9–15.0).

Final

Iowa State

62—71

Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech by 9 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATVirginia Tech

21-50FG20-49

42.0%FG%41.0%

5-213PT11-28

24.0%3PT%39.0%

15-26FT20-23

58.0%FT%87.0%

30Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists16

13Turnovers15

9Steals7

1Blocks1

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Milan Momcilovic	F	35	7-10	3-5	4-5	2	0	2	21
Tamin Lipsey	G	36	6-13	1-3	5-8	5	4	3	18
Tre King	Forward	25	3-6	0-1	4-4	7	1	1	10
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	30	1-6	0-4	1-6	3	4	2	3
Curtis Jones	Guard	26	1-8	1-7	0-0	2	2	1	3
Jackson Paveletzke	G	13	1-4	0-1	0-1	1	1	0	2
Demarion Watson	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Omaha Biliew	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Virginia Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Cattoor	Guard	26	4-9	3-7	7-8	3	1	1	0	18
Sean Pedulla	Guard	33	5-9	5-7	2-2	4	6	1	0	17
Lynn Kidd	Center	28	5-6	0-0	3-3	4	2	1	0	13
Tyler Nickel	F	27	3-7	3-6	1-2	3	1	0	0	10
MJ Collins Jr.	G	28	1-8	0-3	2-2	5	3	4	0	4
Mekhi Long	Forward	24	1-4	0-2	2-2	8	1	0	0	4
Robbie Beran	Forward	16	1-4	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Mylyjael Poteat	Forward	11	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	1	1
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

93.0Offensive Efficiency106.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency93.0

-13.5Net Efficiency13.5

47.0%Effective FG%52.0%

49.7%True Shooting %59.2%

19.6%Turnover Rate22.4%

52.0%Free Throw Rate46.9%

42.0%3-Point Rate57.1%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Virginia Tech won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.