Youngstown State

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.1%Youngstown State

87.9%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL145.4

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -726

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreYoungstown State 66

Projected Total145.4

Projected ScoreDayton 79

Team Comparison

Youngstown StateMetricDayton

46.7MMH Power Index59.9

111.6Offensive Efficiency108.5

107.1Defensive Efficiency101.5

4.5Net Efficiency7.0

-5.6Strength of Schedule5.7

1.5Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

66.7Tempo68.3

54.9%Effective FG%52.0%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.9%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

32.3%Free Throw Rate47.6%

3.0Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–46.7), defensive efficiency (101.5–107.1), net efficiency (7.0–4.5), strength of schedule (5.7–-5.6).

Youngstown State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.6–108.5), shooting efficiency (54.9–52.0), offensive rebounding (31.6–26.7).

Final

Youngstown State

69—77

Dayton

Dayton by 8 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Youngstown StateTEAM STATDayton

25-61FG26-51

41.0%FG%51.0%

13-293PT10-23

45.0%3PT%43.0%

6-10FT15-26

60.0%FT%58.0%

34Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists15

8Turnovers8

4Steals3

2Blocks9

20Fouls11

Player Box Score

Youngstown State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Rush	Guard	33	6-14	4-7	2-2	6	0	0	0	18
Ziggy Reid	Forward	32	7-11	3-4	0-1	5	3	0	0	17
Brett Thompson	Guard	33	5-12	3-7	1-2	4	3	1	0	14
Bryson Langdon	Guard	33	4-11	3-5	3-3	3	2	1	0	14
John Lovelace Jr.	G	14	2-3	0-0	0-2	1	0	1	0	4
EJ Farmer	Guard	17	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
DJ Burns	Forward	24	0-5	0-4	0-0	5	5	0	0	0
Imanuel Zorgvol	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	0
Gabe Dynes	C	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DaRon Holmes II	Center	27	6-8	0-0	6-14	3	2	1	4	18
Kobe Elvis	Guard	32	5-13	3-7	2-2	3	4	1	0	15
Koby Brea	Guard	28	6-12	3-8	0-0	7	2	0	1	15
Nate Santos	Forward	35	3-6	1-2	3-4	13	1	0	0	10
Javon Bennett	G	33	4-9	2-5	0-0	1	2	0	0	10
Isaac Jack	F	13	1-1	0-0	4-6	3	0	0	3	6
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	27	1-2	1-1	0-0	4	4	1	1	3
Zimi Nwokeji	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Petras Padegimas	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

105.2Offensive Efficiency117.4

117.4Defensive Efficiency105.2

-12.2Net Efficiency12.2

51.6%Effective FG%60.8%

52.5%True Shooting %60.8%

12.2%Turnover Rate12.2%

16.4%Free Throw Rate51.0%

47.5%3-Point Rate45.1%

1.75Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Dayton won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.