VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.5%VCU

45.5%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.7

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -120

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 78

Projected Total154.7

Projected ScoreBoise State 77

Team Comparison

VCUMetricBoise State

65.7MMH Power Index59.5

116.4Offensive Efficiency113.9

103.3Defensive Efficiency107.1

13.1Net Efficiency6.8

5.4Strength of Schedule4.2

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

69.5Tempo68.6

53.7%Effective FG%52.7%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.0%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate42.7%

9.1Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

VCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–59.5), offensive efficiency (116.4–113.9), defensive efficiency (103.3–107.1), net efficiency (13.1–6.8).

Boise State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.8–31.7).

Final

VCU

61—65

Boise State

Boise State by 4 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATBoise State

21-53FG21-51

40.0%FG%41.0%

6-223PT6-16

27.0%3PT%38.0%

13-15FT17-21

87.0%FT%81.0%

39Rebounds28

10Offensive Rebounds5

12Assists7

14Turnovers8

5Steals8

5Blocks3

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Shulga	Guard	35	8-19	3-11	5-5	8	3	0	0	24
Tobi Lawal	F	26	6-7	1-1	1-2	9	0	0	1	14
Zeb Jackson	Guard	27	3-12	0-2	2-2	6	3	2	0	8
Jason Nelson	G	24	2-4	2-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	6
Michael Belle	F	27	1-3	0-1	3-3	5	1	1	0	5
Alphonzo Billups III	G	15	0-4	0-3	2-2	1	1	1	0	2
Kuany Kuany	Guard	14	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Christian Fermin	F	30	0-2	0-0	0-1	4	1	1	4	0
Roosevelt Wheeler	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Meadow	F	24	5-10	2-3	0-1	1	0	0	0	12
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	37	2-9	0-2	6-6	2	1	2	0	10
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	29	2-8	1-4	3-3	6	1	3	0	8
Cam Martin	Forward	25	1-2	0-0	6-8	7	1	1	2	8
Roddie Anderson	G	23	3-5	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Max Rice	Guard	22	3-9	0-2	1-1	1	1	0	0	7
Jace Whiting	G	17	3-3	1-1	0-1	3	1	2	0	7
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	16	2-5	0-1	1-1	0	2	0	1	5
R.J. Keene II	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kobe Young	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

95.2Offensive Efficiency101.4

101.4Defensive Efficiency95.2

-6.2Net Efficiency6.2

45.3%Effective FG%47.1%

50.7%True Shooting %53.3%

21.8%Turnover Rate12.5%

28.3%Free Throw Rate41.2%

41.5%3-Point Rate31.4%

0.86Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Boise State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.