NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.2%NC State

71.8%BYU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBYU -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL163.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBYU -255

BYU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 78

Projected Total163.4

Projected ScoreBYU 85

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricBYU

60.1MMH Power Index63.9

118.4Offensive Efficiency118.3

108.6Defensive Efficiency106.8

9.8Net Efficiency11.5

6.4Strength of Schedule6.5

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

70.2Tempo70.6

55.1%Effective FG%54.7%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %33.7%

35.7%Free Throw Rate35.4%

6.9Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

BYU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBYU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–60.1), defensive efficiency (106.8–108.6), net efficiency (11.5–9.8), strength of schedule (6.5–6.4).

NC State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.4–118.3), shooting efficiency (55.1–54.7), ball security (13.1–15.2).

Final

NC State

86—95

BYU

BYU by 9 • 77.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATBYU

30-64FG34-60

47.0%FG%57.0%

10-253PT14-34

40.0%3PT%41.0%

16-22FT13-20

73.0%FT%65.0%

30Rebounds39

7Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists20

9Turnovers17

11Steals3

—Blocks1

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Casey Morsell	Guard	37	10-17	3-6	5-7	6	1	0	28
Jayden Taylor	Guard	35	6-10	3-6	2-2	6	1	2	17
DJ Burns	Forward	35	7-10	0-1	2-5	7	4	2	16
DJ Horne	Guard	29	5-14	4-7	0-0	1	1	4	14
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	19	2-5	0-1	2-2	2	2	2	6
Michael O'Connell	Guard	20	0-5	0-3	2-2	1	3	0	2
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	7	0-2	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	2
Breon Pass	Guard	5	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	1
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

BYU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaxson Robinson	Guard	30	7-14	3-7	6-6	4	3	0	1	23
Noah Waterman	Forward	28	6-9	2-5	1-3	6	1	0	0	15
Dallin Hall	G	29	5-6	2-2	1-2	3	2	0	0	13
Trevin Knell	Guard	24	4-9	3-7	2-2	5	1	1	0	13
Spencer Johnson	Guard	26	5-8	1-3	0-1	5	6	0	0	11
Richie Saunders	G	14	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Aly Khalifa	C	27	2-5	0-3	1-4	9	5	1	0	5
Trey Stewart	Guard	11	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	5
Fousseyni Traore	Center	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Townsend Tripple	Forward	5	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

77.5Possessions77.5

111.0Offensive Efficiency122.6

122.6Defensive Efficiency111.0

-11.6Net Efficiency11.6

54.7%Effective FG%68.3%

57.8%True Shooting %68.3%

11.8%Turnover Rate21.7%

34.4%Free Throw Rate33.3%

39.1%3-Point Rate56.7%

1.44Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

BYU won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 77.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.