San Diego

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.6%San Diego

92.4%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -16.7

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -1216

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego 72

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreArkansas State 88

Team Comparison

San DiegoMetricArkansas State

39.8MMH Power Index57.7

106.2Offensive Efficiency113.1

111.1Defensive Efficiency105.3

-4.9Net Efficiency7.8

-1.2Strength of Schedule-1.0

-12.2Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

70.1Tempo73.3

52.0%Effective FG%52.7%

17.8%Turnover Rate19.4%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

26.3%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-3.4Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–39.8), offensive efficiency (113.1–106.2), defensive efficiency (105.3–111.1), net efficiency (7.8–-4.9).

San Diego COUNTERS WITHball security (17.8–19.4).

Final

San Diego

71—57

Arkansas State

San Diego by 14 • 74.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San DiegoTEAM STATArkansas State

26-64FG20-68

41.0%FG%29.0%

6-143PT4-24

43.0%3PT%17.0%

13-18FT13-18

72.0%FT%72.0%

40Rebounds50

9Offensive Rebounds18

15Assists11

11Turnovers15

10Steals5

8Blocks7

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Deuce Turner	G	25	5-10	3-3	5-6	3	1	1	0	18
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	33	4-12	0-0	3-3	1	4	0	0	11
Dragos Lungu	G	26	5-8	0-1	1-1	8	3	2	0	11
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	31	3-9	1-2	1-2	6	3	2	2	8
Jimmy Oladokun Jr.	F	17	3-6	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	7
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	13	2-8	1-4	2-3	3	1	0	0	7
PJ Hayes IV	Guard	22	2-4	1-2	0-0	3	1	3	0	5
Santiago Trouet	F	26	2-4	0-0	0-0	9	2	2	5	4
Deven Dahlke	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	0
Dominic Muncey	Guard	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joey Chammaa	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	27	5-15	2-7	3-3	8	2	0	2	15
Freddy Hicks	G	33	2-8	0-1	8-9	7	3	2	1	12
Caleb Fields	Guard	27	4-8	0-2	0-2	3	1	0	0	8
Zane Butler	Guard	23	2-7	1-4	1-2	3	1	1	1	6
Taryn Todd	Guard	30	2-12	0-2	1-2	6	4	1	2	5
Lado Laku	Forward	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	12	0	0	1	4
Julian Lual	Guard	9	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Avery Felts	Guard	28	1-6	1-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Derrian Ford	G	9	0-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Izaiyah Nelson	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.1Possessions74.1

95.8Offensive Efficiency76.9

76.9Defensive Efficiency95.8

18.9Net Efficiency-18.9

45.3%Effective FG%32.4%

48.9%True Shooting %37.2%

14.8%Turnover Rate20.4%

28.1%Free Throw Rate26.5%

21.9%3-Point Rate35.3%

1.36Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

San Diego won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 74.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.