Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.7%Ohio

73.3%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL154.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -275

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 74

Projected Total154.8

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 81

Team Comparison

OhioMetricMiddle Tennessee

48MMH Power Index52.5

109.7Offensive Efficiency109.6

110.7Defensive Efficiency105.7

-1.0Net Efficiency3.9

-0.1Strength of Schedule0.4

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

71.0Tempo68.8

52.0%Effective FG%52.2%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.7%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

37.8%Free Throw Rate33.2%

-0.7Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Middle Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiddle Tennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.5–48.0), defensive efficiency (105.7–110.7), net efficiency (3.9–-1.0), strength of schedule (0.4–-0.1).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.7–109.6), ball security (15.3–16.7), free throw rate (37.8–33.2).

Final

Ohio

80—68

Middle Tennessee

Ohio by 12 • 64.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

32-54FG23-52

59.0%FG%44.0%

9-223PT6-26

41.0%3PT%23.0%

7-10FT16-20

70.0%FT%80.0%

26Rebounds27

5Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists10

10Turnovers14

3Steals4

—Blocks3

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jaylin Hunter	Guard	32	7-9	3-3	2-2	2	3	1	19
AJ Clayton	Forward	20	5-6	5-6	0-0	3	1	0	15
Shereef Mitchell	Guard	28	6-12	0-3	2-4	3	2	0	14
Elmore James IV	G	29	4-8	0-3	0-0	4	1	0	8
Gabe Wiznitzer	Center	19	3-4	0-0	2-2	2	3	0	8
AJ Brown	G	28	3-6	0-3	1-2	2	2	0	7
Ajay Sheldon	G	19	3-5	1-3	0-0	2	3	1	7
Ike Cornish	G	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	2
Aidan Hadaway	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	31	5-7	1-1	6-8	8	1	0	1	17
Elias King	Guard	33	6-14	1-6	2-4	4	0	1	0	15
Jestin Porter	G	35	3-10	1-7	4-4	3	4	1	1	11
Justin Bufford	Guard	35	3-6	1-3	4-4	4	1	1	1	11
Jacob Johnson	Guard	29	3-5	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Jalen Jordan	Guard	22	2-8	2-8	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Ty Mosley	Guard	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Josh Ogundele	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tre Green	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.2Possessions64.2

124.6Offensive Efficiency105.9

105.9Defensive Efficiency124.6

18.7Net Efficiency-18.7

67.6%Effective FG%50.0%

68.1%True Shooting %55.3%

15.7%Turnover Rate21.7%

18.5%Free Throw Rate38.5%

40.7%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.60Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Ohio won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 64.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.