UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.0%UMBC

48.0%William & Mary

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWilliam & Mary -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -108

William & Mary

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 76

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreWilliam & Mary 76

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricWilliam & Mary

59.1MMH Power Index53.8

113.0Offensive Efficiency112.5

99.0Defensive Efficiency105.2

14.0Net Efficiency7.3

-5.6Strength of Schedule-1.5

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

65.5Tempo73.9

54.3%Effective FG%55.3%

14.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

34.1%Free Throw Rate45.3%

9.1Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–53.8), offensive efficiency (113.0–112.5), defensive efficiency (99.0–105.2), net efficiency (14.0–7.3).

William & Mary COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.5–-5.6), shooting efficiency (55.3–54.3), offensive rebounding (26.7–25.2).

Final

UMBC

81—96

William & Mary

William & Mary by 15 • 71.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATWilliam & Mary

31-64FG35-63

48.0%FG%56.0%

10-273PT9-25

37.0%3PT%36.0%

9-11FT17-22

82.0%FT%77.0%

30Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists18

9Turnovers7

3Steals5

5Blocks1

19Fouls10

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khydarius Smith	Center	28	8-11	0-1	4-5	5	0	0	2	20
Dion Brown	G	23	9-14	0-2	0-1	1	1	2	1	18
Devan Sapp	Guard	31	5-9	5-9	0-0	3	1	0	0	15
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	30	4-11	4-8	3-3	4	5	1	0	15
Franck Emmou	G	19	3-6	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	7
Marlon Short	Guard	24	1-5	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	0	2
Bryce Johnson	Guard	16	1-4	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Ace Valentine	G	8	0-3	0-1	2-2	3	2	0	0	2
Max Lorca-Lloyd	Center	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	0
Alpha Chibambe	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ashton Reese	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

William & Mary

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gabe Dorsey	Guard	31	8-15	6-12	5-5	2	1	0	0	27
Chase Lowe	G	31	9-13	0-0	4-6	7	6	3	0	22
Trey Moss	G	38	6-11	2-6	3-4	0	1	1	0	17
Charlie Williams	C	26	7-8	1-2	0-0	7	6	0	1	15
Jack Karasinski	F	23	2-8	0-2	5-7	6	2	0	0	9
Caleb Dorsey	Forward	32	3-8	0-3	0-0	7	2	0	0	6
Miles Hicks	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tai Hamilton	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Jayden Lemond	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.9Possessions71.9

112.7Offensive Efficiency133.5

133.5Defensive Efficiency112.7

-20.9Net Efficiency20.9

56.3%Effective FG%62.7%

58.5%True Shooting %65.4%

12.6%Turnover Rate9.7%

17.2%Free Throw Rate34.9%

42.2%3-Point Rate39.7%

1.44Assist / Turnover2.57

Game Summary

William & Mary won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 71.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.