Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.0%Texas State

63.0%UT Arlington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUT Arlington -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL140.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUT Arlington -170

UT Arlington

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 68

Projected Total140.4

Projected ScoreUT Arlington 73

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricUT Arlington

49.4MMH Power Index49.6

107.7Offensive Efficiency102.7

103.4Defensive Efficiency97.9

4.3Net Efficiency4.8

-4.7Strength of Schedule-0.8

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.9

68.6Tempo68.1

51.3%Effective FG%48.5%

18.4%Turnover Rate20.4%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

36.0%Free Throw Rate43.7%

2.9Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UT Arlington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUT Arlington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–49.4), defensive efficiency (97.9–103.4), net efficiency (4.8–4.3), strength of schedule (-0.8–-4.7).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.7–102.7), recent form (9.1–-3.9), shooting efficiency (51.3–48.5).

Final

Texas State

73—66

UT Arlington

Texas State by 7 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATUT Arlington

25-55FG19-44

45.0%FG%43.0%

3-83PT2-15

38.0%3PT%13.0%

20-29FT26-36

69.0%FT%72.0%

30Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds5

16Assists14

8Turnovers15

7Steals4

4Blocks6

24Fouls25

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Mason	G	25	6-17	1-2	8-10	1	3	1	0	21
Brandon Love	Forward	32	7-9	0-0	1-5	10	0	0	4	15
Kaden Gumbs	G	33	3-10	0-0	5-6	2	8	1	0	11
Dontae Horne	G	20	3-6	1-2	1-2	2	3	1	0	8
Joshua O'Garro	G	32	2-5	0-1	2-3	8	1	4	0	6
Dylan Dawson	Guard	30	1-4	1-3	3-3	2	0	0	0	6
Christian Turner	Forward	20	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Chris Nix	Forward	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2

UT Arlington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Shemar Wilson	Forward	37	5-8	1-1	10-14	13	0	0	3	21
Makaih Williams	G	35	2-9	0-2	10-14	2	6	3	1	14
Akili Vining	Guard	24	6-7	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	14
Brandyn Talbot	Guard	33	4-9	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Dwayne Koroma	F	27	2-4	0-1	3-4	3	2	0	1	7
Kade Douglas	G	13	0-2	0-2	1-2	3	2	0	0	1
DaJuan Gordon	Guard	25	0-3	0-3	0-0	8	2	1	1	0
Fabio Basili	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aaron Cash	Guard	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

103.0Offensive Efficiency93.1

93.1Defensive Efficiency103.0

9.9Net Efficiency-9.9

48.2%Effective FG%45.5%

53.1%True Shooting %54.0%

11.3%Turnover Rate21.1%

52.7%Free Throw Rate81.8%

14.5%3-Point Rate34.1%

2.00Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Texas State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.