Southern

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.8%Southern

75.2%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -303

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern 73

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreValparaiso 80

Team Comparison

SouthernMetricValparaiso

44.5MMH Power Index49.9

108.7Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.4Defensive Efficiency105.8

2.3Net Efficiency0.8

-7.5Strength of Schedule0.3

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

73.3Tempo67.5

51.3%Effective FG%48.7%

16.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

40.3%Free Throw Rate40.0%

1.7Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (108.7–106.6), net efficiency (2.3–0.8), recent form (2.0–-0.1), shooting efficiency (51.3–48.7).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (49.9–44.5), defensive efficiency (105.8–106.4), strength of schedule (0.3–-7.5).

Final

Southern

59—71

Valparaiso

Valparaiso by 12 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SouthernTEAM STATValparaiso

22-56FG23-51

39.0%FG%45.0%

6-203PT7-20

30.0%3PT%35.0%

9-11FT18-24

82.0%FT%75.0%

31Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists15

15Turnovers14

9Steals5

2Blocks1

22Fouls11

Player Box Score

Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tai'Reon Joseph	G	29	7-15	0-6	1-1	3	2	0	0	15
Brandon Davis	Guard	32	3-7	2-3	2-2	4	2	1	1	10
Jalen Reynolds	Forward	17	4-4	0-0	2-2	6	0	1	1	10
Jordan Johnson	G	22	3-4	3-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	9
Tidjiane Dioumassi	G	14	1-3	0-1	3-4	0	1	1	0	5
Dre'Shawn Allen	Guard	13	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Antoine Jacks	Guard	23	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	1	3	0	2
Brentay Noel	F	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
JaRonn Wilkens	Forward	7	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jordan Mitchell	Guard	24	0-6	0-1	1-2	3	3	1	0	1
Delang Muon	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stafford	G	34	4-13	2-7	7-11	9	4	0	0	17
Cooper Schwieger	F	25	6-9	2-2	3-4	7	1	0	1	17
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	39	3-5	0-2	2-2	3	5	1	0	8
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	26	2-6	2-4	2-2	6	1	1	0	8
Jahari Williamson	G	18	1-5	0-3	4-5	1	2	1	0	6
Jerome Palm	F	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Jaxon Edwards	G	27	2-8	1-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	5
Ola Ajiboye	F	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

85.1Offensive Efficiency102.5

102.5Defensive Efficiency85.1

-17.3Net Efficiency17.3

44.6%Effective FG%52.0%

48.2%True Shooting %56.9%

21.7%Turnover Rate20.2%

19.6%Free Throw Rate47.1%

35.7%3-Point Rate39.2%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.