Niagara

8-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.9%Niagara

54.1%Saint Francis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Francis -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL144.2

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Francis -118

Saint Francis

7-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNiagara 71

Projected Total144.2

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 73

Team Comparison

NiagaraMetricSaint Francis

35.8MMH Power Index32.7

100.8Offensive Efficiency101.2

112.4Defensive Efficiency114.7

-11.6Net Efficiency-13.5

-0.8Strength of Schedule-2.3

-5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.5

63.4Tempo70.6

50.9%Effective FG%49.8%

18.8%Turnover Rate18.3%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %28.4%

27.3%Free Throw Rate31.2%

-7.4Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Niagara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNiagara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (35.8–32.7), defensive efficiency (112.4–114.7), net efficiency (-11.6–-13.5), strength of schedule (-0.8–-2.3).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (101.2–100.8), ball security (18.3–18.8), offensive rebounding (28.4–24.9).

Final

Niagara

69—61

Saint Francis

Niagara by 8 • 62.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NiagaraTEAM STATSaint Francis

27-44FG26-69

61.0%FG%38.0%

5-113PT1-13

45.0%3PT%8.0%

10-16FT8-12

63.0%FT%67.0%

33Rebounds31

6Offensive Rebounds17

14Assists6

15Turnovers6

3Steals8

2Blocks2

11Fouls16

Player Box Score

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ahmad Henderson II	G	32	5-10	3-5	2-4	1	2	0	0	15
Yaw Obeng-Mensah	Forward	29	5-7	0-0	2-2	5	3	0	0	12
Kwane Marble	Guard	25	4-4	0-0	4-7	6	0	1	1	12
Braxton Bayless	G	24	5-8	0-0	0-0	4	5	2	0	10
Luke Bumbalough	Guard	32	2-6	1-4	2-2	6	3	0	0	7
Lance Erving	Guard	12	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Harlan Obioha	C	20	2-2	0-0	0-1	9	1	0	0	4
Dre Bullock	G	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	4
Aime Rutayisire	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Randy Tucker	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cam Gregory	G	34	10-26	0-7	2-2	2	1	0	0	22
Gestin Liberis	F	27	5-8	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	11
Ace Talbert	G	31	4-11	1-1	0-0	5	2	1	0	9
Chris Moncrief	G	24	4-6	0-0	0-2	2	1	2	1	8
Wisler Sanon II	Guard	16	1-5	0-1	3-4	4	0	3	0	5
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	24	1-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Elijah Wilborn	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Aaron Humphrey Jr.	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Aidan Harris	Forward	19	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	2	0	0
Carlos Lopez	G	9	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Miles Webb	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.2Possessions62.2

110.9Offensive Efficiency98.1

98.1Defensive Efficiency110.9

12.9Net Efficiency-12.9

67.0%Effective FG%38.4%

66.9%True Shooting %40.8%

24.8%Turnover Rate9.4%

36.4%Free Throw Rate17.4%

25.0%3-Point Rate18.8%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Niagara won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 62.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.