Arkansas State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.6%Arkansas State

57.4%UT Rio Grande Valley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUT Rio Grande Valley -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUT Rio Grande Valley -135

UT Rio Grande Valley

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 76

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreUT Rio Grande Valley 79

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricUT Rio Grande Valley

57.7MMH Power Index55.8

113.1Offensive Efficiency112.6

105.3Defensive Efficiency103.1

7.8Net Efficiency9.5

-1.0Strength of Schedule-1.9

15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency12.3

73.3Tempo67.4

52.7%Effective FG%55.7%

19.4%Turnover Rate17.9%

38.1%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate29.6%

5.8Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–55.8), offensive efficiency (113.1–112.6), strength of schedule (-1.0–-1.9), recent form (15.2–12.3).

UT Rio Grande Valley COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.1–105.3), net efficiency (9.5–7.8), shooting efficiency (55.7–52.7).

Final

Arkansas State

75—58

UT Rio Grande Valley

Arkansas State by 17 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas StateTEAM STATUT Rio Grande Valley

24-59FG19-60

41.0%FG%32.0%

12-293PT1-9

41.0%3PT%11.0%

15-20FT19-27

75.0%FT%70.0%

50Rebounds34

16Offensive Rebounds13

16Assists7

14Turnovers7

4Steals9

5Blocks6

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Freddy Hicks	G	35	6-10	2-3	4-5	5	5	1	1	18
Izaiyah Nelson	F	16	4-6	0-0	4-6	9	0	0	2	12
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	33	4-12	2-7	1-3	15	4	0	0	11
Taryn Todd	Guard	32	3-10	1-5	2-2	7	2	1	1	9
Avery Felts	Guard	31	3-8	3-6	0-0	2	2	1	0	9
Julian Lual	Guard	22	3-7	3-6	0-0	2	0	0	1	9
Zane Butler	Guard	9	1-1	1-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Lado Laku	Forward	10	0-2	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	0	2
Derrian Ford	G	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	3	1	0	0

UT Rio Grande Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
J.J. Howard	Guard	35	6-13	0-3	4-6	2	1	0	1	16
Hasan Abdul Hakim	G	31	5-8	0-0	1-4	4	0	2	1	11
Daylen Williams	Forward	24	2-3	1-1	6-6	6	2	3	0	11
Elijah Elliott	G	28	1-10	0-1	5-6	5	0	2	0	7
Isaiah Barganier	F	16	2-6	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
CJ Booker	PG	10	1-5	0-1	2-2	0	3	2	0	4
Ahren Freeman	Forward	17	1-5	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	1	3
Alex Horiuk	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	2
Sherman Brashear	Guard	16	0-3	0-2	0-1	0	0	0	1	0
C.J. Jackson	Guard	7	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
DeAnthony Tipler Jr.	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Saliou Seye	F	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

112.4Offensive Efficiency87.0

87.0Defensive Efficiency112.4

25.5Net Efficiency-25.5

50.8%Effective FG%32.5%

54.7%True Shooting %39.8%

21.1%Turnover Rate10.5%

33.9%Free Throw Rate45.0%

49.2%3-Point Rate15.0%

1.14Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.