North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%North Dakota State

64.5%Grand Canyon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrand Canyon -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINEGrand Canyon -182

Grand Canyon

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 72

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 76

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricGrand Canyon

59MMH Power Index59.8

115.4Offensive Efficiency109.2

100.8Defensive Efficiency99.1

14.6Net Efficiency10.1

-4.6Strength of Schedule2.0

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.7

69.6Tempo69.3

54.5%Effective FG%52.1%

15.5%Turnover Rate17.6%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %31.2%

31.3%Free Throw Rate41.0%

10.1Average Margin7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (115.4–109.2), net efficiency (14.6–10.1), recent form (14.3–9.7), shooting efficiency (54.5–52.1).

Grand Canyon COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.8–59.0), defensive efficiency (99.1–100.8), strength of schedule (2.0–-4.6).

Final

North Dakota State

71—86

Grand Canyon

Grand Canyon by 15 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATGrand Canyon

25-54FG34-69

46.0%FG%49.0%

5-163PT5-12

31.0%3PT%42.0%

16-22FT13-20

73.0%FT%65.0%

35Rebounds36

11Offensive Rebounds14

6Assists12

15Turnovers4

2Steals6

3Blocks7

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boden Skunberg	G	37	7-16	2-6	9-11	8	0	2	0	25
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	39	7-14	1-3	4-4	3	3	0	0	19
Andrew Morgan	Forward	17	3-4	0-0	3-4	1	0	0	1	9
Jeremiah Burke	F	23	4-5	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	0	8
Jacari White	G	29	2-7	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Tajavis Miller	G	27	1-4	1-3	0-0	6	1	0	2	3
Joshua Streit	Forward	21	1-3	0-0	0-2	6	2	0	0	2
Darik Dissette	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Noah Feddersen	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sam Hastreiter	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lance Waddles	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	35	11-20	1-2	2-3	6	2	3	1	25
Ray Harrison	Guard	35	6-13	0-1	6-8	4	6	1	0	18
Gabe McGlothan	Forward	35	5-12	3-6	0-0	4	1	0	0	13
Sydney Curry	Forward	13	4-7	0-0	2-4	10	0	0	2	10
Duke Brennan	F	20	4-6	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	2	9
Isaiah Shaw	F	23	3-4	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	7
Collin Moore	Guard	30	1-6	0-1	2-4	4	3	2	1	4
Lok Wur	Forward	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

103.6Offensive Efficiency125.5

125.5Defensive Efficiency103.6

-21.9Net Efficiency21.9

50.9%Effective FG%52.9%

55.1%True Shooting %54.8%

21.9%Turnover Rate5.8%

40.7%Free Throw Rate29.0%

29.6%3-Point Rate17.4%

0.40Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Grand Canyon won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.