Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.2%Penn State

95.8%VCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -21.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -2281

VCU

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 67

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreVCU 89

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricVCU

42.3MMH Power Index65.7

109.2Offensive Efficiency116.4

117.6Defensive Efficiency103.3

-8.4Net Efficiency13.1

5.3Strength of Schedule5.4

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency6.0

67.5Tempo69.5

53.4%Effective FG%53.7%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.1%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

34.6%Free Throw Rate42.9%

-5.7Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

VCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–42.3), offensive efficiency (116.4–109.2), defensive efficiency (103.3–117.6), net efficiency (13.1–-8.4).

Final

Penn State

74—86

VCU

VCU by 12 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATVCU

23-52FG28-52

44.0%FG%54.0%

5-173PT8-15

29.0%3PT%53.0%

23-35FT22-28

66.0%FT%79.0%

29Rebounds36

7Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists11

11Turnovers15

8Steals6

4Blocks6

20Fouls25

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	40	8-19	2-7	9-13	3	5	2	1	27
Qudus Wahab	Forward	27	5-7	0-0	4-7	6	0	0	2	14
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	16	4-7	3-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	11
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	25	2-5	0-1	3-4	5	1	1	1	7
Puff Johnson	G	22	2-4	0-1	3-4	2	0	2	0	7
Zach Hicks	Forward	28	1-7	0-5	1-3	6	1	3	0	3
RayQuawndis Mitchell	Guard	19	1-2	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	3
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Kanye Clary	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jameel Brown	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alphonzo Billups III	G	27	8-9	5-6	2-3	0	0	1	2	23
Zeb Jackson	Guard	36	8-18	2-5	4-7	7	6	1	0	22
Max Shulga	Guard	37	4-10	1-4	10-10	6	2	2	1	19
Tobi Lawal	F	24	4-4	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	1	11
Michael Belle	F	38	2-5	0-0	3-4	9	2	1	1	7
Kuany Kuany	Guard	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Roosevelt Wheeler	Center	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Christian Fermin	F	18	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

101.5Offensive Efficiency118.0

118.0Defensive Efficiency101.5

-16.5Net Efficiency16.5

49.0%Effective FG%61.5%

53.9%True Shooting %65.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate20.5%

67.3%Free Throw Rate53.8%

32.7%3-Point Rate28.8%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

VCU won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.