Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.8%Lafayette

95.2%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -20.8

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -1983

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 66

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreBelmont 87

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricBelmont

39.6MMH Power Index61.8

102.9Offensive Efficiency118.6

110.3Defensive Efficiency103.7

-7.4Net Efficiency14.9

-1.4Strength of Schedule-0.2

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

67.5Tempo70.7

49.4%Effective FG%60.7%

15.4%Turnover Rate17.8%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

33.0%Free Throw Rate32.7%

-5.0Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–39.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–102.9), defensive efficiency (103.7–110.3), net efficiency (14.9–-7.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHball security (15.4–17.8), free throw rate (33.0–32.7).

Final

Lafayette

69—79

Belmont

Belmont by 10 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATBelmont

24-62FG25-58

39.0%FG%43.0%

10-333PT9-22

30.0%3PT%41.0%

11-14FT20-24

79.0%FT%83.0%

29Rebounds39

8Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists15

14Turnovers16

9Steals6

3Blocks2

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Hines	G	27	7-15	2-8	1-1	3	0	0	0	17
Ryan Pettit	G	21	2-6	2-6	3-3	1	2	0	0	9
Luke Rasmussen	G	18	3-5	3-5	0-0	0	0	1	0	9
Luka Savicevic	G	15	4-7	1-2	0-0	1	2	2	0	9
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	31	1-7	0-5	5-6	4	0	2	0	7
Justin Vander Baan	C	26	3-10	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	2	6
Eric Sondberg	Guard	17	2-3	2-3	0-0	4	0	0	1	6
Mark Butler	G	25	1-5	0-2	2-4	3	5	2	0	4
Joshua Wyche	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Chris Rubayo	F	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Andrew Phillips	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cade Tyson	G	35	7-14	3-6	2-3	3	3	3	0	19
Malik Dia	F	18	7-9	2-3	2-2	2	2	0	1	18
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	29	5-9	2-3	3-3	3	3	1	0	15
Jayce Willingham	Guard	26	3-6	1-3	3-4	10	1	0	0	10
Brigham Rogers	F	21	1-4	1-2	5-6	4	0	0	1	8
Keishawn Davidson	Guard	25	1-6	0-2	4-4	4	4	2	0	6
Isaiah Walker	G	25	1-6	0-2	1-2	6	1	0	0	3
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Win Miller	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Dykstra	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

92.5Offensive Efficiency105.9

105.9Defensive Efficiency92.5

-13.4Net Efficiency13.4

46.8%Effective FG%50.9%

50.3%True Shooting %56.9%

18.8%Turnover Rate21.5%

22.6%Free Throw Rate41.4%

53.2%3-Point Rate37.9%

0.79Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

Belmont won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.