New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.3%New Mexico State

90.7%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -15.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -975

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 69

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreLouisville 85

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricLouisville

51.2MMH Power Index67.1

108.9Offensive Efficiency118.6

104.5Defensive Efficiency102.2

4.4Net Efficiency16.4

-0.7Strength of Schedule6.0

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

68.9Tempo71.0

48.6%Effective FG%56.9%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.8%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

37.0%Free Throw Rate34.1%

3.1Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–51.2), offensive efficiency (118.6–108.9), defensive efficiency (102.2–104.5), net efficiency (16.4–4.4).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.2–16.8), offensive rebounding (33.1–32.3), free throw rate (37.0–34.1).

Final

New Mexico State

84—90

Louisville

Louisville by 6 • 76.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATLouisville

35-60FG25-56

58.0%FG%45.0%

5-183PT4-20

28.0%3PT%20.0%

9-17FT36-49

53.0%FT%73.0%

32Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds15

17Assists12

16Turnovers13

7Steals8

1Blocks1

40Fouls16

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Rawls	Guard	39	9-14	1-2	1-3	4	2	2	0	20
Kaosi Ezeagu	Forward	35	8-9	0-0	1-3	8	1	0	0	17
Christian Cook	Guard	27	5-9	2-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	12
Clarence Jackson	Forward	25	5-10	0-5	2-3	3	1	2	0	12
Robert Carpenter	Forward	22	3-4	0-1	4-5	5	0	2	1	10
Jaden Harris	G	39	3-8	2-4	0-1	4	5	1	0	8
Jaylin Jackson-Posey	Guard	27	1-4	0-1	0-0	4	6	0	0	2
Jonathan Kanyanga	Forward	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Keylon Dorsey	G	3	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Yaak Yaak	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Skyy Clark	G	39	6-8	2-4	15-16	4	3	1	0	29
Tre White	G	36	6-12	1-5	9-13	6	1	3	0	22
JJ Traynor	F	34	9-14	1-4	1-3	9	1	0	0	20
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	30	2-6	0-2	6-9	2	6	1	0	10
Mike James	G	38	0-7	0-3	5-8	8	1	0	0	5
Emmanuel Okorafor	F	10	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0	4
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	22	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	0
Curtis Williams Jr.	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kaleb Glenn	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Dennis Evans	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.7Possessions76.7

109.5Offensive Efficiency117.3

117.3Defensive Efficiency109.5

-7.8Net Efficiency7.8

62.5%Effective FG%48.2%

61.7%True Shooting %56.8%

21.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

28.3%Free Throw Rate87.5%

30.0%3-Point Rate35.7%

1.06Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Louisville won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 76.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.