New Orleans

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%New Orleans

78.2%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL157.6

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -359

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Orleans 74

Projected Total157.6

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 84

Team Comparison

New OrleansMetricCentral Arkansas

47.1MMH Power Index54

107.0Offensive Efficiency113.9

109.6Defensive Efficiency105.2

-2.6Net Efficiency8.7

0.2Strength of Schedule-3.9

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

70.8Tempo71.0

50.5%Effective FG%54.3%

20.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

35.7%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

48.4%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-1.8Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–47.1), offensive efficiency (113.9–107.0), defensive efficiency (105.2–109.6), net efficiency (8.7–-2.6).

New Orleans COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-3.9), offensive rebounding (35.7–29.6), free throw rate (48.4–30.7).

Final

New Orleans

79—74

Central Arkansas

New Orleans by 5 • 74.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New OrleansTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

27-59FG23-55

46.0%FG%42.0%

10-213PT13-28

48.0%3PT%46.0%

15-24FT15-20

63.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists18

13Turnovers24

16Steals6

4Blocks4

20Fouls21

Player Box Score

New Orleans

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Johnson	Guard	40	7-15	6-12	9-10	4	4	3	0	29
Khaleb Wilson-Rouse	Guard	37	9-13	3-5	1-1	8	1	8	1	22
Mason Jones	Guard	23	2-6	0-2	4-7	1	1	2	0	8
Tyson Jackson	Forward	27	3-7	0-0	1-4	5	0	0	1	7
Jamond Vincent	Guard	23	3-9	1-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	7
Omarion Henry	Forward	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
D'Ante Bell	Forward	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
James Glisson III	Forward	13	0-3	0-0	0-2	3	1	0	2	0
Carlos Hart	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jah Short	Guard	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tucker Anderson	F	20	5-9	5-6	3-4	5	0	0	0	18
Daniel Sofield	Guard	36	5-10	4-9	3-5	4	4	1	0	17
Javion Guy-King	G	22	3-9	2-3	2-2	5	3	0	0	10
Masai Olowokere	Guard	28	4-6	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	9
Johannes Kirsipuu	G	18	3-7	1-3	2-2	3	6	0	0	9
Elias Cato	Forward	25	2-6	0-1	3-5	5	2	0	0	7
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	33	0-0	0-0	2-2	9	1	3	3	2
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	16	1-8	0-4	0-0	3	2	2	0	2
Caleb Carr	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.0Possessions74.0

106.8Offensive Efficiency100.0

100.0Defensive Efficiency106.8

6.8Net Efficiency-6.8

54.2%Effective FG%53.6%

56.1%True Shooting %57.4%

18.0%Turnover Rate31.8%

40.7%Free Throw Rate36.4%

35.6%3-Point Rate50.9%

0.77Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

New Orleans won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 74.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.