Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.6%Jacksonville State

44.4%Incarnate Word

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL145.3

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -125

Incarnate Word

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 73

Projected Total145.3

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 72

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricIncarnate Word

51.2MMH Power Index44.6

108.2Offensive Efficiency112.0

101.8Defensive Efficiency111.2

6.4Net Efficiency0.8

-2.3Strength of Schedule-3.6

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

67.2Tempo66.3

51.0%Effective FG%52.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

44.5%Free Throw Rate34.0%

4.3Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–44.6), defensive efficiency (101.8–111.2), net efficiency (6.4–0.8), strength of schedule (-2.3–-3.6).

Incarnate Word COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.0–108.2), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.0), ball security (16.8–17.0).

Final

Jacksonville State

67—65

Incarnate Word

Jacksonville State by 2 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATIncarnate Word

28-61FG23-51

46.0%FG%45.0%

5-183PT6-18

28.0%3PT%33.0%

6-8FT13-16

75.0%FT%81.0%

33Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds11

15Assists8

11Turnovers17

11Steals5

5Blocks5

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KyKy Tandy	Guard	30	8-18	3-7	1-1	3	4	2	0	20
Juwan Perdue	Forward	29	3-8	2-5	3-5	5	4	3	1	11
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	28	3-7	0-2	2-2	4	1	0	0	8
Matt Mayers	Forward	14	4-4	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	0	8
Quincy Clark	Guard	25	3-9	0-1	0-0	4	3	1	0	6
Mason Nicholson	C	13	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	6
Ivan Reynolds	Guard	29	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	1	4
Andres Burney	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	2	2
Caleb Johnson	F	13	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Alex Odam	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Davis	Guard	32	7-13	1-2	1-2	7	3	1	0	16
Dylan Hayman	Forward	33	4-7	2-4	1-2	5	0	1	1	11
Josiah Hammons	G	32	3-7	3-7	2-2	4	1	1	1	11
Shon Robinson	Forward	20	2-6	0-1	4-4	5	2	0	0	8
Josh Akpovwa	F	12	3-4	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	3	7
Skylar Wicks	G	23	2-8	0-4	2-2	3	2	1	0	6
Josh Morgan	Guard	20	1-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	4
Marcus Glover	F	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Davante Dennis	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Amani Drummond	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
TJ Ford Jr.	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

105.2Offensive Efficiency102.0

102.0Defensive Efficiency105.2

3.1Net Efficiency-3.1

50.0%Effective FG%51.0%

51.7%True Shooting %55.5%

17.5%Turnover Rate26.3%

13.1%Free Throw Rate31.4%

29.5%3-Point Rate35.3%

1.36Assist / Turnover0.47

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.