Long Beach State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.0%Long Beach State

87.0%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -13.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -669

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 70

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreMontana State 83

Team Comparison

Long Beach StateMetricMontana State

41.1MMH Power Index53.6

103.8Offensive Efficiency114.4

107.8Defensive Efficiency104.9

-4.0Net Efficiency9.5

-1.4Strength of Schedule-3.7

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

72.2Tempo68.1

51.5%Effective FG%55.1%

17.7%Turnover Rate14.7%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

31.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-2.9Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–41.1), offensive efficiency (114.4–103.8), defensive efficiency (104.9–107.8), net efficiency (9.5–-4.0).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-3.7), free throw rate (31.1–30.7).

Final

Long Beach State

75—69

Montana State

Long Beach State by 6 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Long Beach StateTEAM STATMontana State

29-61FG27-53

48.0%FG%51.0%

2-133PT13-30

15.0%3PT%43.0%

15-20FT2-4

75.0%FT%50.0%

31Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds3

13Assists15

4Turnovers16

10Steals3

2Blocks3

12Fouls19

Player Box Score

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Tsohonis	Guard	26	11-17	0-2	4-4	5	0	1	0	26
Lassina Traore	F	25	7-11	0-0	1-3	13	0	1	0	15
Messiah Thompson	Guard	28	4-10	2-6	0-0	0	3	1	0	10
AJ George	G	21	2-4	0-1	4-4	1	2	0	0	8
Jadon Jones	G	32	2-7	0-4	3-3	1	4	4	2	7
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	27	1-5	0-0	2-4	3	4	2	0	4
Isa Silva	G	16	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Amari Stroud	Forward	15	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Chayce Polynice	Center	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Varick Lewis	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jason Hart Jr.	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Patterson	Guard	40	7-12	6-11	0-0	7	2	0	0	20
Brian Goracke	Forward	35	7-12	5-9	0-0	2	1	0	0	19
Brandon Walker	F	23	5-10	0-1	0-0	5	2	0	0	10
Robert Ford III	Guard	38	4-7	1-3	0-2	8	6	1	0	9
Jed Miller	G	19	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Chika Nduka	Forward	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	4
Sam Lecholat	Forward	26	0-3	0-3	2-2	5	1	0	3	2
Eddie Turner III	Guard	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

110.8Offensive Efficiency101.9

101.9Defensive Efficiency110.8

8.9Net Efficiency-8.9

49.2%Effective FG%63.2%

53.2%True Shooting %62.8%

5.9%Turnover Rate23.6%

32.8%Free Throw Rate7.5%

21.3%3-Point Rate56.6%

3.25Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

Long Beach State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.